Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's overnight low on August 30 will likely range from 13–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting trader emphasis on the 12°C-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling during clear or broken-cloud periods, combined with August's typical diurnal range of 10–12°C and a seasonal decline from mid-month warmth, favors the lower tail of expected minima near the 12.6°C climatological average. Model spread on exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities for 13–15°C clustered around 23–26.5%, while warmer scenarios above 17°C remain lower-weighted given the absence of strong warm advection. Updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 30 de agosto?
12°C or below 88%
17°C 49%
13°C 39%
15°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
12°C or below
88%
13°C
39%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
49%
18°C
24%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
10%
12°C or below 88%
17°C 49%
13°C 39%
15°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
88%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$5 Vol.
24%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's overnight low on August 30 will likely range from 13–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting trader emphasis on the 12°C-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling during clear or broken-cloud periods, combined with August's typical diurnal range of 10–12°C and a seasonal decline from mid-month warmth, favors the lower tail of expected minima near the 12.6°C climatological average. Model spread on exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities for 13–15°C clustered around 23–26.5%, while warmer scenarios above 17°C remain lower-weighted given the absence of strong warm advection. Updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's overnight low on August 30 will likely range from 13–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting trader emphasis on the 12°C-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling during clear or broken-cloud periods, combined with August's typical diurnal range of 10–12°C and a seasonal decline from mid-month warmth, favors the lower tail of expected minima near the 12.6°C climatological average. Model spread on exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities for 13–15°C clustered around 23–26.5%, while warmer scenarios above 17°C remain lower-weighted given the absence of strong warm advection. Updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's overnight low on August 30 will likely range from 13–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting trader emphasis on the 12°C-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Radiative cooling during clear or broken-cloud periods, combined with August's typical diurnal range of 10–12°C and a seasonal decline from mid-month warmth, favors the lower tail of expected minima near the 12.6°C climatological average. Model spread on exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities for 13–15°C clustered around 23–26.5%, while warmer scenarios above 17°C remain lower-weighted given the absence of strong warm advection. Updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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