Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a persistent heat dome over northern France will drive Paris maximum temperatures on July 12 into the mid-30s Celsius, with consensus centered on 35–37°C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This setup favors strong daytime heating through subsidence warming and high solar insolation, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover minimal. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in the timing of any Atlantic trough approach or boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1–2°C to the peak. Trader odds cluster tightly around 36°C (36%) and 37°C (29%) because these align with the latest high-resolution runs, though the 35°C and 38°C bins remain viable if steering flow or local advection shifts slightly before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 12 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 12 de julio?
36°C 36%
37°C 31%
35°C 21%
38°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
21%
36°C
36%
37°C
31%
38°C
8%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
37°C 31%
35°C 21%
38°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
33°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
34°C
$10 Vol.
6%
35°C
$150 Vol.
21%
36°C
$70 Vol.
36%
37°C
$29 Vol.
31%
38°C
$12 Vol.
8%
39°C
$15 Vol.
4%
40°C
$5 Vol.
1%
41°C
$10 Vol.
1%
42°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$233 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a persistent heat dome over northern France will drive Paris maximum temperatures on July 12 into the mid-30s Celsius, with consensus centered on 35–37°C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This setup favors strong daytime heating through subsidence warming and high solar insolation, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover minimal. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in the timing of any Atlantic trough approach or boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1–2°C to the peak. Trader odds cluster tightly around 36°C (36%) and 37°C (29%) because these align with the latest high-resolution runs, though the 35°C and 38°C bins remain viable if steering flow or local advection shifts slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$594Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a persistent heat dome over northern France will drive Paris maximum temperatures on July 12 into the mid-30s Celsius, with consensus centered on 35–37°C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This setup favors strong daytime heating through subsidence warming and high solar insolation, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover minimal. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in the timing of any Atlantic trough approach or boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1–2°C to the peak. Trader odds cluster tightly around 36°C (36%) and 37°C (29%) because these align with the latest high-resolution runs, though the 35°C and 38°C bins remain viable if steering flow or local advection shifts slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$594Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a persistent heat dome over northern France will drive Paris maximum temperatures on July 12 into the mid-30s Celsius, with consensus centered on 35–37°C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This setup favors strong daytime heating through subsidence warming and high solar insolation, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover minimal. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in the timing of any Atlantic trough approach or boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1–2°C to the peak. Trader odds cluster tightly around 36°C (36%) and 37°C (29%) because these align with the latest high-resolution runs, though the 35°C and 38°C bins remain viable if steering flow or local advection shifts slightly before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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