Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a September 3 high in Paris most likely between 25–28 °C, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those values. Westerly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit strong daytime heating, while surface pressure near 1023 hPa and light winds around 3–9 m/s support modest warming from overnight lows near 16–18 °C. Model consensus places the afternoon peak near or slightly above the 23.3 °C climatological average, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any clearing creating the narrow spread between 26 °C and 28 °C outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these variables and influence further shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 3 de septiembre?
26°C 33%
27°C 25%
28°C 11%
29°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
25°C or below
9%
26°C
33%
27°C
25%
28°C
20%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
27°C 25%
28°C 11%
29°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$1,047 Vol.
33%
27°C
$31 Vol.
25%
28°C
$77 Vol.
20%
29°C
$197 Vol.
11%
30°C
$17 Vol.
3%
31°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a September 3 high in Paris most likely between 25–28 °C, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those values. Westerly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit strong daytime heating, while surface pressure near 1023 hPa and light winds around 3–9 m/s support modest warming from overnight lows near 16–18 °C. Model consensus places the afternoon peak near or slightly above the 23.3 °C climatological average, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any clearing creating the narrow spread between 26 °C and 28 °C outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these variables and influence further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,357Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a September 3 high in Paris most likely between 25–28 °C, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those values. Westerly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit strong daytime heating, while surface pressure near 1023 hPa and light winds around 3–9 m/s support modest warming from overnight lows near 16–18 °C. Model consensus places the afternoon peak near or slightly above the 23.3 °C climatological average, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any clearing creating the narrow spread between 26 °C and 28 °C outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these variables and influence further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,357Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a September 3 high in Paris most likely between 25–28 °C, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those values. Westerly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit strong daytime heating, while surface pressure near 1023 hPa and light winds around 3–9 m/s support modest warming from overnight lows near 16–18 °C. Model consensus places the afternoon peak near or slightly above the 23.3 °C climatological average, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any clearing creating the narrow spread between 26 °C and 28 °C outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these variables and influence further shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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