**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 6 maximum temperature centers on the narrow 24–25 °C band (combined ~61 % implied probability) because the latest official and model guidance places the expected high squarely in that range.** After a cold front suppressed readings to the 18–19 °C zone on July 4, high pressure and subsidence are allowing gradual warming. INMET and major global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently converge on afternoon temperatures of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which limit both excessive heating and excessive mixing. Climatologically, early-July highs in São Paulo average 21–22 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal but well below the upper tail of the distribution. Key variables that could shift the outcome by one degree include the precise amount of low-level moisture and any thin afternoon cloud deck, both of which reduce insolation and surface warming. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next INMET update and the 00 UTC model runs will be the decisive inputs traders monitor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 6?
24°C 46%
25°C 25%
23°C 22%
22°C 5.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
22%
24°C
46%
25°C
25%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
25°C 25%
23°C 22%
22°C 5.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
18°C or below
$1,220 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$814 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$553 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$537 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1,045 Vol.
22%
24°C
$1,166 Vol.
46%
25°C
$834 Vol.
25%
26°C
$245 Vol.
5%
27°C
$625 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$363 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 6 maximum temperature centers on the narrow 24–25 °C band (combined ~61 % implied probability) because the latest official and model guidance places the expected high squarely in that range.** After a cold front suppressed readings to the 18–19 °C zone on July 4, high pressure and subsidence are allowing gradual warming. INMET and major global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently converge on afternoon temperatures of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which limit both excessive heating and excessive mixing.
Climatologically, early-July highs in São Paulo average 21–22 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal but well below the upper tail of the distribution. Key variables that could shift the outcome by one degree include the precise amount of low-level moisture and any thin afternoon cloud deck, both of which reduce insolation and surface warming. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next INMET update and the 00 UTC model runs will be the decisive inputs traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$8,730Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 6 maximum temperature centers on the narrow 24–25 °C band (combined ~61 % implied probability) because the latest official and model guidance places the expected high squarely in that range.** After a cold front suppressed readings to the 18–19 °C zone on July 4, high pressure and subsidence are allowing gradual warming. INMET and major global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently converge on afternoon temperatures of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which limit both excessive heating and excessive mixing.
Climatologically, early-July highs in São Paulo average 21–22 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal but well below the upper tail of the distribution. Key variables that could shift the outcome by one degree include the precise amount of low-level moisture and any thin afternoon cloud deck, both of which reduce insolation and surface warming. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next INMET update and the 00 UTC model runs will be the decisive inputs traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,730Fecha de finalización
6 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 6 maximum temperature centers on the narrow 24–25 °C band (combined ~61 % implied probability) because the latest official and model guidance places the expected high squarely in that range.** After a cold front suppressed readings to the 18–19 °C zone on July 4, high pressure and subsidence are allowing gradual warming. INMET and major global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently converge on afternoon temperatures of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which limit both excessive heating and excessive mixing. Climatologically, early-July highs in São Paulo average 21–22 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal but well below the upper tail of the distribution. Key variables that could shift the outcome by one degree include the precise amount of low-level moisture and any thin afternoon cloud deck, both of which reduce insolation and surface warming. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next INMET update and the 00 UTC model runs will be the decisive inputs traders monitor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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