Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?
27°C 37%
26°C 31%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
37%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 31%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
22°C or below
$481 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$936 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,005 Vol.
9%
26°C
$642 Vol.
31%
27°C
$3,662 Vol.
37%
28°C
$628 Vol.
15%
29°C
$451 Vol.
4%
30°C
$166 Vol.
1%
31°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$8,647Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,647Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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