**Cloud cover, light southerly flow, and high humidity are moderating daytime heating in Tokyo ahead of September 13, keeping the expected maximum in the 26–28 °C range that currently dominates the market.** Multiple forecast models show mostly cloudy to overcast skies with only isolated light showers or drizzle possible, limiting solar insolation and preventing strong afternoon warming. Southerly winds of 5–10 mph (roughly 2–5 m/s) advect maritime air while dew points remain near 21–23 °C, further capping the peak. Recent observations confirm the pattern: persistent cloud and rain on the 12th have left a moist, stable boundary layer that models carry forward into the 13th. Historical climatology for mid-September places the normal high near 27 °C, and current guidance aligns closely with that baseline rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly. Because the Japan Meteorological Agency’s official daily maximum is the resolution metric, traders are weighting the tight cluster of model outputs around 26–27 °C most heavily, with 28 °C still plausible if breaks of sun develop. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before the observation window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 13 de septiembre?
27°C 42%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
29%
27°C
42%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$1,353 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$279 Vol.
1%
24°C
$314 Vol.
3%
25°C
$693 Vol.
7%
26°C
$740 Vol.
29%
27°C
$1,856 Vol.
42%
28°C
$1,301 Vol.
16%
29°C
$466 Vol.
3%
30°C
$861 Vol.
2%
31°C o más
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, light southerly flow, and high humidity are moderating daytime heating in Tokyo ahead of September 13, keeping the expected maximum in the 26–28 °C range that currently dominates the market.** Multiple forecast models show mostly cloudy to overcast skies with only isolated light showers or drizzle possible, limiting solar insolation and preventing strong afternoon warming. Southerly winds of 5–10 mph (roughly 2–5 m/s) advect maritime air while dew points remain near 21–23 °C, further capping the peak.
Recent observations confirm the pattern: persistent cloud and rain on the 12th have left a moist, stable boundary layer that models carry forward into the 13th. Historical climatology for mid-September places the normal high near 27 °C, and current guidance aligns closely with that baseline rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly.
Because the Japan Meteorological Agency’s official daily maximum is the resolution metric, traders are weighting the tight cluster of model outputs around 26–27 °C most heavily, with 28 °C still plausible if breaks of sun develop. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$9,401Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, light southerly flow, and high humidity are moderating daytime heating in Tokyo ahead of September 13, keeping the expected maximum in the 26–28 °C range that currently dominates the market.** Multiple forecast models show mostly cloudy to overcast skies with only isolated light showers or drizzle possible, limiting solar insolation and preventing strong afternoon warming. Southerly winds of 5–10 mph (roughly 2–5 m/s) advect maritime air while dew points remain near 21–23 °C, further capping the peak.
Recent observations confirm the pattern: persistent cloud and rain on the 12th have left a moist, stable boundary layer that models carry forward into the 13th. Historical climatology for mid-September places the normal high near 27 °C, and current guidance aligns closely with that baseline rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly.
Because the Japan Meteorological Agency’s official daily maximum is the resolution metric, traders are weighting the tight cluster of model outputs around 26–27 °C most heavily, with 28 °C still plausible if breaks of sun develop. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,401Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, light southerly flow, and high humidity are moderating daytime heating in Tokyo ahead of September 13, keeping the expected maximum in the 26–28 °C range that currently dominates the market.** Multiple forecast models show mostly cloudy to overcast skies with only isolated light showers or drizzle possible, limiting solar insolation and preventing strong afternoon warming. Southerly winds of 5–10 mph (roughly 2–5 m/s) advect maritime air while dew points remain near 21–23 °C, further capping the peak. Recent observations confirm the pattern: persistent cloud and rain on the 12th have left a moist, stable boundary layer that models carry forward into the 13th. Historical climatology for mid-September places the normal high near 27 °C, and current guidance aligns closely with that baseline rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly. Because the Japan Meteorological Agency’s official daily maximum is the resolution metric, traders are weighting the tight cluster of model outputs around 26–27 °C most heavily, with 28 °C still plausible if breaks of sun develop. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before the observation window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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