**Traders have converged on 27°C as the absolute daily minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 12, 2026, with overwhelming market-implied odds of 99.3%.** This positioning stems from consistent observational data and forecast models indicating overnight lows near 26–27°C amid typical mid-September subtropical conditions: high humidity, scattered showers, and light easterly winds that limited radiational cooling. Hong Kong Observatory measurements, which resolve the market via the finalized “Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)” in the daily extract, aligned closely with this range rather than cooler historical September averages around 24–25°C. The narrow uncertainty reflects strong model agreement and proximity to resolution, leaving little room for significant revision. Only an unexpected data correction or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome away from 27°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 12 de septiembre?
27°C 99.3%
26°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C o más <1%
$110,188 Vol.
$110,188 Vol.
12 sep 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C o más
1%
27°C 99.3%
26°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C o más <1%
$110,188 Vol.
$110,188 Vol.
12 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$528 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,001 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,406 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,065 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,413 Vol.
1%
27°C
$7,123 Vol.
99%
28°C
$87,284 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$76 Vol.
1%
32°C o más
$54 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders have converged on 27°C as the absolute daily minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 12, 2026, with overwhelming market-implied odds of 99.3%.** This positioning stems from consistent observational data and forecast models indicating overnight lows near 26–27°C amid typical mid-September subtropical conditions: high humidity, scattered showers, and light easterly winds that limited radiational cooling. Hong Kong Observatory measurements, which resolve the market via the finalized “Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)” in the daily extract, aligned closely with this range rather than cooler historical September averages around 24–25°C. The narrow uncertainty reflects strong model agreement and proximity to resolution, leaving little room for significant revision. Only an unexpected data correction or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome away from 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$110,188Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders have converged on 27°C as the absolute daily minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 12, 2026, with overwhelming market-implied odds of 99.3%.** This positioning stems from consistent observational data and forecast models indicating overnight lows near 26–27°C amid typical mid-September subtropical conditions: high humidity, scattered showers, and light easterly winds that limited radiational cooling. Hong Kong Observatory measurements, which resolve the market via the finalized “Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)” in the daily extract, aligned closely with this range rather than cooler historical September averages around 24–25°C. The narrow uncertainty reflects strong model agreement and proximity to resolution, leaving little room for significant revision. Only an unexpected data correction or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome away from 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$110,188Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on 27°C as the absolute daily minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 12, 2026, with overwhelming market-implied odds of 99.3%.** This positioning stems from consistent observational data and forecast models indicating overnight lows near 26–27°C amid typical mid-September subtropical conditions: high humidity, scattered showers, and light easterly winds that limited radiational cooling. Hong Kong Observatory measurements, which resolve the market via the finalized “Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)” in the daily extract, aligned closely with this range rather than cooler historical September averages around 24–25°C. The narrow uncertainty reflects strong model agreement and proximity to resolution, leaving little room for significant revision. Only an unexpected data correction or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome away from 27°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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