**The market's clustering around 29°C (36%) and 30°C (27.5%) tracks the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 25–29°C range for September 13, driven by a persistent northeast monsoon delivering east to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers with early thunderstorms.** These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, capping daytime heating below the seasonal September average near 30°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, with most runs holding maxima at or just above 29°C amid high relative humidity (75–95%) and modest sea-surface temperatures around 28°C. Traders are weighting the official nowcast and latest model consensus most heavily ahead of the next HKO update and overnight reanalysis, while assigning lower probability to brief clearing that could allow a 31°C spike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 13 de septiembre?
29°C 37%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
$13,210 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,210 Vol.
13 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
22%
29°C
37%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
$13,210 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,210 Vol.
13 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$538 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$630 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,326 Vol.
3%
28°C
$4,433 Vol.
22%
29°C
$1,185 Vol.
37%
30°C
$507 Vol.
28%
31°C
$1,106 Vol.
11%
32°C
$629 Vol.
4%
33°C
$456 Vol.
1%
34°C
$576 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The market's clustering around 29°C (36%) and 30°C (27.5%) tracks the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 25–29°C range for September 13, driven by a persistent northeast monsoon delivering east to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers with early thunderstorms.** These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, capping daytime heating below the seasonal September average near 30°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, with most runs holding maxima at or just above 29°C amid high relative humidity (75–95%) and modest sea-surface temperatures around 28°C. Traders are weighting the official nowcast and latest model consensus most heavily ahead of the next HKO update and overnight reanalysis, while assigning lower probability to brief clearing that could allow a 31°C spike.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$13,210Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The market's clustering around 29°C (36%) and 30°C (27.5%) tracks the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 25–29°C range for September 13, driven by a persistent northeast monsoon delivering east to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers with early thunderstorms.** These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, capping daytime heating below the seasonal September average near 30°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, with most runs holding maxima at or just above 29°C amid high relative humidity (75–95%) and modest sea-surface temperatures around 28°C. Traders are weighting the official nowcast and latest model consensus most heavily ahead of the next HKO update and overnight reanalysis, while assigning lower probability to brief clearing that could allow a 31°C spike.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,210Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market's clustering around 29°C (36%) and 30°C (27.5%) tracks the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 25–29°C range for September 13, driven by a persistent northeast monsoon delivering east to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers with early thunderstorms.** These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, capping daytime heating below the seasonal September average near 30°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, with most runs holding maxima at or just above 29°C amid high relative humidity (75–95%) and modest sea-surface temperatures around 28°C. Traders are weighting the official nowcast and latest model consensus most heavily ahead of the next HKO update and overnight reanalysis, while assigning lower probability to brief clearing that could allow a 31°C spike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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