**Forecast models and official guidance position a high near 20°C as the most probable outcome for Toronto on September 14.** Environment Canada projects sunny conditions with a daytime maximum of 21°C under northwest flow, while several private models cluster between 19–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This cooler-than-normal reading (historical average high 22.4°C) reflects post-frontal stabilization and dry air advection that limits daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19–21°C mirrors the narrow uncertainty range in current short-range guidance, with only modest upside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected or downside if mixing remains limited. Updated model runs and the next Environment Canada bulletin will provide the clearest near-term signal for any refinement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 14 de septiembre?
20°C 49%
19°C 34%
21°C 13%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
34%
20°C
49%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
1%
20°C 49%
19°C 34%
21°C 13%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$117 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$66 Vol.
1%
17°C
$186 Vol.
1%
18°C
$495 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,251 Vol.
34%
20°C
$1,071 Vol.
49%
21°C
$669 Vol.
13%
22°C
$714 Vol.
5%
23°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$164 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance position a high near 20°C as the most probable outcome for Toronto on September 14.** Environment Canada projects sunny conditions with a daytime maximum of 21°C under northwest flow, while several private models cluster between 19–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This cooler-than-normal reading (historical average high 22.4°C) reflects post-frontal stabilization and dry air advection that limits daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19–21°C mirrors the narrow uncertainty range in current short-range guidance, with only modest upside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected or downside if mixing remains limited. Updated model runs and the next Environment Canada bulletin will provide the clearest near-term signal for any refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,066Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance position a high near 20°C as the most probable outcome for Toronto on September 14.** Environment Canada projects sunny conditions with a daytime maximum of 21°C under northwest flow, while several private models cluster between 19–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This cooler-than-normal reading (historical average high 22.4°C) reflects post-frontal stabilization and dry air advection that limits daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19–21°C mirrors the narrow uncertainty range in current short-range guidance, with only modest upside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected or downside if mixing remains limited. Updated model runs and the next Environment Canada bulletin will provide the clearest near-term signal for any refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,066Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance position a high near 20°C as the most probable outcome for Toronto on September 14.** Environment Canada projects sunny conditions with a daytime maximum of 21°C under northwest flow, while several private models cluster between 19–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This cooler-than-normal reading (historical average high 22.4°C) reflects post-frontal stabilization and dry air advection that limits daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19–21°C mirrors the narrow uncertainty range in current short-range guidance, with only modest upside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected or downside if mixing remains limited. Updated model runs and the next Environment Canada bulletin will provide the clearest near-term signal for any refinement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes