Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a Monday low in San Francisco of 56–58 °F under mostly clear skies with light west to northwest winds, consistent with the marine layer’s moderating influence and the city’s typical early-fall climatology. This places the 56–57 °F bucket as the clear market leader at 48 % implied probability, while the 54–55 °F and sub-52 °F ranges capture residual model spread and the chance of slightly stronger onshore flow. Historical September 14 lows average near 56 °F, with recent years rarely dipping below 54 °F absent unusual cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the overnight minimum, which will be measured at the official downtown or airport station; any late-model shift in wind or cloud cover could still nudge the exact reading within the 54–58 °F window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 14 de septiembre?
56-57°F 57%
66°F o más 55%
47°F o menos 49%
50-51°F 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
47°F o menos
49%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
36%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
21%
60-61°F
36%
62-63 °F
16%
64-65°F
17%
66°F o más
55%
56-57°F 57%
66°F o más 55%
47°F o menos 49%
50-51°F 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
47°F o menos
$0 Vol.
49%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
14%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
36%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
36%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
26%
56-57°F
$121 Vol.
47%
58-59°F
$50 Vol.
21%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
36%
62-63 °F
$0 Vol.
16%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
17%
66°F o más
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a Monday low in San Francisco of 56–58 °F under mostly clear skies with light west to northwest winds, consistent with the marine layer’s moderating influence and the city’s typical early-fall climatology. This places the 56–57 °F bucket as the clear market leader at 48 % implied probability, while the 54–55 °F and sub-52 °F ranges capture residual model spread and the chance of slightly stronger onshore flow. Historical September 14 lows average near 56 °F, with recent years rarely dipping below 54 °F absent unusual cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the overnight minimum, which will be measured at the official downtown or airport station; any late-model shift in wind or cloud cover could still nudge the exact reading within the 54–58 °F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$171Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a Monday low in San Francisco of 56–58 °F under mostly clear skies with light west to northwest winds, consistent with the marine layer’s moderating influence and the city’s typical early-fall climatology. This places the 56–57 °F bucket as the clear market leader at 48 % implied probability, while the 54–55 °F and sub-52 °F ranges capture residual model spread and the chance of slightly stronger onshore flow. Historical September 14 lows average near 56 °F, with recent years rarely dipping below 54 °F absent unusual cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the overnight minimum, which will be measured at the official downtown or airport station; any late-model shift in wind or cloud cover could still nudge the exact reading within the 54–58 °F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$171Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a Monday low in San Francisco of 56–58 °F under mostly clear skies with light west to northwest winds, consistent with the marine layer’s moderating influence and the city’s typical early-fall climatology. This places the 56–57 °F bucket as the clear market leader at 48 % implied probability, while the 54–55 °F and sub-52 °F ranges capture residual model spread and the chance of slightly stronger onshore flow. Historical September 14 lows average near 56 °F, with recent years rarely dipping below 54 °F absent unusual cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the overnight minimum, which will be measured at the official downtown or airport station; any late-model shift in wind or cloud cover could still nudge the exact reading within the 54–58 °F window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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