Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Moscow on September 13, supporting the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A ridge of high pressure over central Russia is promoting mostly clear conditions and moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September climatology, when historical averages range 15–18°C. Limited model spread keeps 16°C and 18°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 18.5%, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Final verification will rely on official Roshydromet observations at the primary Moscow station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 13 de septiembre?
17°C 46%
16°C 22%
18°C 19%
19°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
13°C o menos
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
22%
17°C
46%
18°C
19%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 22%
18°C 19%
19°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$223 Vol.
1%
14°C
$95 Vol.
2%
15°C
$48 Vol.
4%
16°C
$132 Vol.
22%
17°C
$699 Vol.
46%
18°C
$230 Vol.
19%
19°C
$197 Vol.
5%
20°C
$214 Vol.
3%
21°C
$53 Vol.
2%
22°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Moscow on September 13, supporting the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A ridge of high pressure over central Russia is promoting mostly clear conditions and moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September climatology, when historical averages range 15–18°C. Limited model spread keeps 16°C and 18°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 18.5%, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Final verification will rely on official Roshydromet observations at the primary Moscow station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,168Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Moscow on September 13, supporting the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A ridge of high pressure over central Russia is promoting mostly clear conditions and moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September climatology, when historical averages range 15–18°C. Limited model spread keeps 16°C and 18°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 18.5%, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Final verification will rely on official Roshydromet observations at the primary Moscow station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,168Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Moscow on September 13, supporting the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. A ridge of high pressure over central Russia is promoting mostly clear conditions and moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September climatology, when historical averages range 15–18°C. Limited model spread keeps 16°C and 18°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 18.5%, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability due to stable steering patterns and absence of strong frontal systems. Final verification will rely on official Roshydromet observations at the primary Moscow station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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