Recent forecasts from multiple models show Warsaw's September 14 high likely reaching 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly winds and a modest chance of brief showers. This consensus, driven by a stable high-pressure influence and limited warm-air advection, underpins the near-equal 31.5 % market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads reveal the main uncertainty stems from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical September averages near 16–18 °C provide context, but current conditions favor the upper end of the near-term range. Updated ECMWF and regional model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 14 de septiembre?
20°C 38%
19°C 31%
18°C 20%
21°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
13°C o menos
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
14%
18°C
20%
19°C
31%
20°C
38%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C o más
7%
20°C 38%
19°C 31%
18°C 20%
21°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$12 Vol.
31%
20°C
$12 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C o más
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Warsaw's September 14 high likely reaching 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly winds and a modest chance of brief showers. This consensus, driven by a stable high-pressure influence and limited warm-air advection, underpins the near-equal 31.5 % market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads reveal the main uncertainty stems from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical September averages near 16–18 °C provide context, but current conditions favor the upper end of the near-term range. Updated ECMWF and regional model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Warsaw's September 14 high likely reaching 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly winds and a modest chance of brief showers. This consensus, driven by a stable high-pressure influence and limited warm-air advection, underpins the near-equal 31.5 % market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads reveal the main uncertainty stems from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical September averages near 16–18 °C provide context, but current conditions favor the upper end of the near-term range. Updated ECMWF and regional model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Warsaw's September 14 high likely reaching 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to northwesterly winds and a modest chance of brief showers. This consensus, driven by a stable high-pressure influence and limited warm-air advection, underpins the near-equal 31.5 % market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads reveal the main uncertainty stems from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical September averages near 16–18 °C provide context, but current conditions favor the upper end of the near-term range. Updated ECMWF and regional model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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