**Forecast models indicate a mild September day in Warsaw with highs most likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities (20°C at 47%, 21°C at 34%, 19°C at 14.5%).** Mid-September climatology for Warsaw shows average daily maxima near 16–20°C as seasonal cooling sets in, with reduced solar insolation and increasing Atlantic influence. Latest guidance from sources including GFS-derived forecasts and agency-style outlooks points to a southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies, with light winds and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle. These conditions favor modest daytime warming without strong radiative heating or warm-air advection that would push temperatures into the mid-20s. Current observations on September 12 show afternoon readings around 18–20°C under similar pressure patterns (near 1020 hPa), providing a stable baseline. Model consensus favors a peak near 19–21°C, with limited spread across runs; any upward revision would require clearer skies or stronger southerly winds, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap the high at 19°C or below. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature measurements for the 24-hour period ending midnight local time on September 13.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 13 de septiembre?
20°C 47%
21°C 35%
19°C 11%
23°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
47%
21°C
35%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C o más
<1%
20°C 47%
21°C 35%
19°C 11%
23°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$67 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$18 Vol.
2%
18°C
$161 Vol.
3%
19°C
$519 Vol.
11%
20°C
$750 Vol.
47%
21°C
$781 Vol.
35%
22°C
$237 Vol.
4%
23°C
$59 Vol.
4%
24°C o más
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild September day in Warsaw with highs most likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities (20°C at 47%, 21°C at 34%, 19°C at 14.5%).**
Mid-September climatology for Warsaw shows average daily maxima near 16–20°C as seasonal cooling sets in, with reduced solar insolation and increasing Atlantic influence. Latest guidance from sources including GFS-derived forecasts and agency-style outlooks points to a southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies, with light winds and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle. These conditions favor modest daytime warming without strong radiative heating or warm-air advection that would push temperatures into the mid-20s.
Current observations on September 12 show afternoon readings around 18–20°C under similar pressure patterns (near 1020 hPa), providing a stable baseline. Model consensus favors a peak near 19–21°C, with limited spread across runs; any upward revision would require clearer skies or stronger southerly winds, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap the high at 19°C or below. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature measurements for the 24-hour period ending midnight local time on September 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$3,011Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild September day in Warsaw with highs most likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities (20°C at 47%, 21°C at 34%, 19°C at 14.5%).**
Mid-September climatology for Warsaw shows average daily maxima near 16–20°C as seasonal cooling sets in, with reduced solar insolation and increasing Atlantic influence. Latest guidance from sources including GFS-derived forecasts and agency-style outlooks points to a southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies, with light winds and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle. These conditions favor modest daytime warming without strong radiative heating or warm-air advection that would push temperatures into the mid-20s.
Current observations on September 12 show afternoon readings around 18–20°C under similar pressure patterns (near 1020 hPa), providing a stable baseline. Model consensus favors a peak near 19–21°C, with limited spread across runs; any upward revision would require clearer skies or stronger southerly winds, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap the high at 19°C or below. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature measurements for the 24-hour period ending midnight local time on September 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,011Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a mild September day in Warsaw with highs most likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities (20°C at 47%, 21°C at 34%, 19°C at 14.5%).** Mid-September climatology for Warsaw shows average daily maxima near 16–20°C as seasonal cooling sets in, with reduced solar insolation and increasing Atlantic influence. Latest guidance from sources including GFS-derived forecasts and agency-style outlooks points to a southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies, with light winds and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle. These conditions favor modest daytime warming without strong radiative heating or warm-air advection that would push temperatures into the mid-20s. Current observations on September 12 show afternoon readings around 18–20°C under similar pressure patterns (near 1020 hPa), providing a stable baseline. Model consensus favors a peak near 19–21°C, with limited spread across runs; any upward revision would require clearer skies or stronger southerly winds, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap the high at 19°C or below. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature measurements for the 24-hour period ending midnight local time on September 13.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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