Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate that clear skies and light winds over Warsaw on September 13 will enhance radiative cooling overnight, driving the daily minimum temperature to 6°C. This aligns with the strong market consensus reflected in the 99.5% implied probability for that outcome, as surface pressure patterns and dew point trends support efficient heat loss without significant cloud cover or advection to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines for the region show comparable minima under similar synoptic conditions, though slight model spreads could allow minor revisions if unexpected moisture increases. Final verification from official station data at Warsaw Chopin Airport will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 13 de septiembre?
6°C 99.4%
5°C o menos 1.0%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,875 Vol.
$1,875 Vol.
13 sep 2026
5°C o menos
1%
6°C
99%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C o superior
<1%
6°C 99.4%
5°C o menos 1.0%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,875 Vol.
$1,875 Vol.
13 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$212 Vol.
1%
6°C
$323 Vol.
99%
7°C
$566 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
15°C o superior
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate that clear skies and light winds over Warsaw on September 13 will enhance radiative cooling overnight, driving the daily minimum temperature to 6°C. This aligns with the strong market consensus reflected in the 99.5% implied probability for that outcome, as surface pressure patterns and dew point trends support efficient heat loss without significant cloud cover or advection to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines for the region show comparable minima under similar synoptic conditions, though slight model spreads could allow minor revisions if unexpected moisture increases. Final verification from official station data at Warsaw Chopin Airport will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,875Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate that clear skies and light winds over Warsaw on September 13 will enhance radiative cooling overnight, driving the daily minimum temperature to 6°C. This aligns with the strong market consensus reflected in the 99.5% implied probability for that outcome, as surface pressure patterns and dew point trends support efficient heat loss without significant cloud cover or advection to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines for the region show comparable minima under similar synoptic conditions, though slight model spreads could allow minor revisions if unexpected moisture increases. Final verification from official station data at Warsaw Chopin Airport will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,875Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate that clear skies and light winds over Warsaw on September 13 will enhance radiative cooling overnight, driving the daily minimum temperature to 6°C. This aligns with the strong market consensus reflected in the 99.5% implied probability for that outcome, as surface pressure patterns and dew point trends support efficient heat loss without significant cloud cover or advection to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines for the region show comparable minima under similar synoptic conditions, though slight model spreads could allow minor revisions if unexpected moisture increases. Final verification from official station data at Warsaw Chopin Airport will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes