Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international runs such as GFS and ECMWF points to a mild spring day in Buenos Aires on September 14, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 14–15 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly flow. This aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where highs typically range 14–18 °C, and current high-pressure stability limits significant warming or cooling. Trader emphasis on 16 °C as the leading outcome (over 50 % implied probability) reflects positioning around the upper end of the expected range, while lower-probability outcomes for 14 °C or 17 °C+ capture residual model spread and potential observational variance at official stations. Updated model guidance through the day will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 14 de septiembre?
16°C 54%
15°C 16%
17 °C 15%
14°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
16%
16°C
54%
17 °C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
16°C 54%
15°C 16%
17 °C 15%
14°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$226 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$260 Vol.
1%
13°C
$246 Vol.
2%
14°C
$481 Vol.
5%
15°C
$1,730 Vol.
16%
16°C
$1,512 Vol.
54%
17 °C
$690 Vol.
15%
18°C
$430 Vol.
3%
19°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international runs such as GFS and ECMWF points to a mild spring day in Buenos Aires on September 14, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 14–15 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly flow. This aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where highs typically range 14–18 °C, and current high-pressure stability limits significant warming or cooling. Trader emphasis on 16 °C as the leading outcome (over 50 % implied probability) reflects positioning around the upper end of the expected range, while lower-probability outcomes for 14 °C or 17 °C+ capture residual model spread and potential observational variance at official stations. Updated model guidance through the day will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$6,208Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international runs such as GFS and ECMWF points to a mild spring day in Buenos Aires on September 14, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 14–15 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly flow. This aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where highs typically range 14–18 °C, and current high-pressure stability limits significant warming or cooling. Trader emphasis on 16 °C as the leading outcome (over 50 % implied probability) reflects positioning around the upper end of the expected range, while lower-probability outcomes for 14 °C or 17 °C+ capture residual model spread and potential observational variance at official stations. Updated model guidance through the day will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,208Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international runs such as GFS and ECMWF points to a mild spring day in Buenos Aires on September 14, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 14–15 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly flow. This aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where highs typically range 14–18 °C, and current high-pressure stability limits significant warming or cooling. Trader emphasis on 16 °C as the leading outcome (over 50 % implied probability) reflects positioning around the upper end of the expected range, while lower-probability outcomes for 14 °C or 17 °C+ capture residual model spread and potential observational variance at official stations. Updated model guidance through the day will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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