Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to a high near 70–73°F in San Francisco on September 14, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime heating despite mostly clear skies. This aligns with the September climatological average high of roughly 71°F and recent stable high-pressure conditions without significant warm advection. Trader consensus, however, concentrates implied probability on the 74–77°F range (66.5% combined), suggesting some participants anticipate slightly stronger warming or station-specific readings above guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, with afternoon sea breezes and wind speeds of 10–20 mph likely capping extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 14 de septiembre?
74-75°F 41%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 18%
70-71 °F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71 °F
7%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84°F o más
1%
74-75°F 41%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 18%
70-71 °F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
65°F o menos
$143 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
2%
70-71 °F
$60 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$112 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$607 Vol.
41%
76-77°F
$575 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$327 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$34 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
2%
84°F o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to a high near 70–73°F in San Francisco on September 14, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime heating despite mostly clear skies. This aligns with the September climatological average high of roughly 71°F and recent stable high-pressure conditions without significant warm advection. Trader consensus, however, concentrates implied probability on the 74–77°F range (66.5% combined), suggesting some participants anticipate slightly stronger warming or station-specific readings above guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, with afternoon sea breezes and wind speeds of 10–20 mph likely capping extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,859Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to a high near 70–73°F in San Francisco on September 14, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime heating despite mostly clear skies. This aligns with the September climatological average high of roughly 71°F and recent stable high-pressure conditions without significant warm advection. Trader consensus, however, concentrates implied probability on the 74–77°F range (66.5% combined), suggesting some participants anticipate slightly stronger warming or station-specific readings above guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, with afternoon sea breezes and wind speeds of 10–20 mph likely capping extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,859Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to a high near 70–73°F in San Francisco on September 14, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that limits daytime heating despite mostly clear skies. This aligns with the September climatological average high of roughly 71°F and recent stable high-pressure conditions without significant warm advection. Trader consensus, however, concentrates implied probability on the 74–77°F range (66.5% combined), suggesting some participants anticipate slightly stronger warming or station-specific readings above guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, with afternoon sea breezes and wind speeds of 10–20 mph likely capping extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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