Traders assign the highest probability to a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by short-range forecast guidance showing a stable springtime regime with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Current surface observations and model consensus indicate temperatures will remain close to the seasonal average for mid-September, with no strong frontal passages or significant warm-air advection expected before the daily peak. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping 14°C and 16°C as plausible but lower-probability outcomes tied to small shifts in wind strength or timing of any diurnal heating. This distribution reflects the narrow forecast uncertainty typical for a 24-hour window in the region.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 13 de septiembre?
15°C 63%
14°C 27%
16°C 9%
13°C 3%
NUEVO
$18,104 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,104 Vol.
13 sep 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
27%
15°C
63%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
15°C 63%
14°C 27%
16°C 9%
13°C 3%
NUEVO
$18,104 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,104 Vol.
13 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$704 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$478 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,240 Vol.
3%
14°C
$3,915 Vol.
27%
15°C
$4,812 Vol.
63%
16°C
$4,967 Vol.
9%
17°C
$697 Vol.
1%
18°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$746 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by short-range forecast guidance showing a stable springtime regime with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Current surface observations and model consensus indicate temperatures will remain close to the seasonal average for mid-September, with no strong frontal passages or significant warm-air advection expected before the daily peak. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping 14°C and 16°C as plausible but lower-probability outcomes tied to small shifts in wind strength or timing of any diurnal heating. This distribution reflects the narrow forecast uncertainty typical for a 24-hour window in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$18,104Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by short-range forecast guidance showing a stable springtime regime with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Current surface observations and model consensus indicate temperatures will remain close to the seasonal average for mid-September, with no strong frontal passages or significant warm-air advection expected before the daily peak. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping 14°C and 16°C as plausible but lower-probability outcomes tied to small shifts in wind strength or timing of any diurnal heating. This distribution reflects the narrow forecast uncertainty typical for a 24-hour window in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,104Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by short-range forecast guidance showing a stable springtime regime with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Current surface observations and model consensus indicate temperatures will remain close to the seasonal average for mid-September, with no strong frontal passages or significant warm-air advection expected before the daily peak. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping 14°C and 16°C as plausible but lower-probability outcomes tied to small shifts in wind strength or timing of any diurnal heating. This distribution reflects the narrow forecast uncertainty typical for a 24-hour window in the region.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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