Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wellington's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 6–7°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and moderate humidity allows temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with typical spring patterns where September minima average 7–9°C. Official guidance highlights a daily range of roughly 10–16°C high and 5–11°C low, with no significant frontal systems or strong winds expected to moderate the overnight dip. Updated model runs showing stabilization around these levels have reinforced trader consensus, though minor revisions in dew point or wind could still shift the exact minimum before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 13 de septiembre?
7°C 47.9%
4°C o menos 10.7%
5°C <1%
8°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
4°C o menos
11%
5°C
<1%
6°C
-
7°C
48%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C o más
<1%
7°C 47.9%
4°C o menos 10.7%
5°C <1%
8°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
4°C o menos
$1 Vol.
11%
5°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$108 Vol.
-
7°C
$361 Vol.
48%
8°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wellington's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 6–7°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and moderate humidity allows temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with typical spring patterns where September minima average 7–9°C. Official guidance highlights a daily range of roughly 10–16°C high and 5–11°C low, with no significant frontal systems or strong winds expected to moderate the overnight dip. Updated model runs showing stabilization around these levels have reinforced trader consensus, though minor revisions in dew point or wind could still shift the exact minimum before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,445Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wellington's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 6–7°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and moderate humidity allows temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with typical spring patterns where September minima average 7–9°C. Official guidance highlights a daily range of roughly 10–16°C high and 5–11°C low, with no significant frontal systems or strong winds expected to moderate the overnight dip. Updated model runs showing stabilization around these levels have reinforced trader consensus, though minor revisions in dew point or wind could still shift the exact minimum before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,445Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wellington's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 6–7°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and moderate humidity allows temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with typical spring patterns where September minima average 7–9°C. Official guidance highlights a daily range of roughly 10–16°C high and 5–11°C low, with no significant frontal systems or strong winds expected to moderate the overnight dip. Updated model runs showing stabilization around these levels have reinforced trader consensus, though minor revisions in dew point or wind could still shift the exact minimum before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes