Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 14, aligning with the market's tightest odds on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, preventing temperatures from falling significantly below recent seasonal averages. Light winds and high humidity further moderate overnight drops, while daytime heating to around 23–24°C sets up typical diurnal ranges. Updated model runs show minimal spread in projected minima, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow slightly cooler readings near 12°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily against historical September baselines of 10–12°C lows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 14 de septiembre?
17°C o más 47%
14°C 42%
12°C 37%
16°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
7°C o menos
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
34%
11°C
36%
12°C
37%
13°C
28%
14°C
33%
15°C
24%
16°C
37%
17°C o más
47%
17°C o más 47%
14°C 42%
12°C 37%
16°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
7°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
34%
11°C
$0 Vol.
36%
12°C
$0 Vol.
37%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$7 Vol.
33%
15°C
$58 Vol.
24%
16°C
$48 Vol.
37%
17°C o más
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 14, aligning with the market's tightest odds on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, preventing temperatures from falling significantly below recent seasonal averages. Light winds and high humidity further moderate overnight drops, while daytime heating to around 23–24°C sets up typical diurnal ranges. Updated model runs show minimal spread in projected minima, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow slightly cooler readings near 12°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily against historical September baselines of 10–12°C lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volumen
$113Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 14, aligning with the market's tightest odds on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, preventing temperatures from falling significantly below recent seasonal averages. Light winds and high humidity further moderate overnight drops, while daytime heating to around 23–24°C sets up typical diurnal ranges. Updated model runs show minimal spread in projected minima, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow slightly cooler readings near 12°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily against historical September baselines of 10–12°C lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$113Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 14, aligning with the market's tightest odds on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, preventing temperatures from falling significantly below recent seasonal averages. Light winds and high humidity further moderate overnight drops, while daytime heating to around 23–24°C sets up typical diurnal ranges. Updated model runs show minimal spread in projected minima, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow slightly cooler readings near 12°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily against historical September baselines of 10–12°C lows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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