Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show Madrid's maximum temperature on September 13 settling between 32°C and 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong daytime heating across the plateau, with the precise peak hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. The near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range, as small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can shift the daily high by a degree. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System expected overnight will provide the next refinement ahead of the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 13 de septiembre?
32°C 49%
33°C 38%
31°C 11.6%
34°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
12%
32°C
49%
33°C
38%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C o más
1%
32°C 49%
33°C 38%
31°C 11.6%
34°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
26°C o menos
$239 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$212 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$647 Vol.
12%
32°C
$1,165 Vol.
49%
33°C
$1,528 Vol.
38%
34°C
$473 Vol.
3%
35°C
$64 Vol.
2%
36°C o más
$414 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show Madrid's maximum temperature on September 13 settling between 32°C and 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong daytime heating across the plateau, with the precise peak hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. The near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range, as small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can shift the daily high by a degree. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System expected overnight will provide the next refinement ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,279Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show Madrid's maximum temperature on September 13 settling between 32°C and 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong daytime heating across the plateau, with the precise peak hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. The near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range, as small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can shift the daily high by a degree. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System expected overnight will provide the next refinement ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,279Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show Madrid's maximum temperature on September 13 settling between 32°C and 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong daytime heating across the plateau, with the precise peak hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. The near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range, as small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can shift the daily high by a degree. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System expected overnight will provide the next refinement ahead of the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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