Northeast monsoon influences over southern China are driving drier, clearer conditions for Hong Kong on September 11, supporting daytime heating under mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Official forecasts project a high near 31°C, with some numerical models indicating potential for 32°C amid northeast winds of force 4–5 that limit cloud cover and moisture. Recent observational data show soil and sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, providing a baseline for surface heating consistent with historical September patterns under similar monsoon setups. Trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes reflects alignment with these model consensus ranges and resolution thresholds tied to official Observatory maximum readings, while lower-probability extremes remain constrained by the expected wind regime and seasonal climatology. Updated HKO briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 11 de septiembre?
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
20%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C o más
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
26°C o menos
$167 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6 Vol.
3%
29°C
$27 Vol.
7%
30°C
$83 Vol.
20%
31°C
$5 Vol.
27%
32°C
$298 Vol.
37%
33°C
$59 Vol.
19%
34°C
$25 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C o más
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon influences over southern China are driving drier, clearer conditions for Hong Kong on September 11, supporting daytime heating under mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Official forecasts project a high near 31°C, with some numerical models indicating potential for 32°C amid northeast winds of force 4–5 that limit cloud cover and moisture. Recent observational data show soil and sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, providing a baseline for surface heating consistent with historical September patterns under similar monsoon setups. Trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes reflects alignment with these model consensus ranges and resolution thresholds tied to official Observatory maximum readings, while lower-probability extremes remain constrained by the expected wind regime and seasonal climatology. Updated HKO briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$800Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon influences over southern China are driving drier, clearer conditions for Hong Kong on September 11, supporting daytime heating under mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Official forecasts project a high near 31°C, with some numerical models indicating potential for 32°C amid northeast winds of force 4–5 that limit cloud cover and moisture. Recent observational data show soil and sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, providing a baseline for surface heating consistent with historical September patterns under similar monsoon setups. Trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes reflects alignment with these model consensus ranges and resolution thresholds tied to official Observatory maximum readings, while lower-probability extremes remain constrained by the expected wind regime and seasonal climatology. Updated HKO briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$800Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon influences over southern China are driving drier, clearer conditions for Hong Kong on September 11, supporting daytime heating under mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Official forecasts project a high near 31°C, with some numerical models indicating potential for 32°C amid northeast winds of force 4–5 that limit cloud cover and moisture. Recent observational data show soil and sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, providing a baseline for surface heating consistent with historical September patterns under similar monsoon setups. Trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes reflects alignment with these model consensus ranges and resolution thresholds tied to official Observatory maximum readings, while lower-probability extremes remain constrained by the expected wind regime and seasonal climatology. Updated HKO briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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