Current model consensus from DWD and ECMWF ensembles shows a cold front advancing across southern Germany on September 9, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after September 8 highs near 31°C. This setup favors a daily maximum in the low 20s°C, aligning with the market's near-even implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Historical climatology places the September 9 average high at 20.7°C, and recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could trim or sustain the peak by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model updates for clearer resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 9 de septiembre?
21°C 31%
22°C 28%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
17°C o menos
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
31%
22°C
28%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
21°C 31%
22°C 28%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$3 Vol.
2%
18°C
$212 Vol.
3%
19°C
$306 Vol.
5%
20°C
$719 Vol.
18%
21°C
$666 Vol.
31%
22°C
$465 Vol.
28%
23°C
$365 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C o más
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from DWD and ECMWF ensembles shows a cold front advancing across southern Germany on September 9, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after September 8 highs near 31°C. This setup favors a daily maximum in the low 20s°C, aligning with the market's near-even implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Historical climatology places the September 9 average high at 20.7°C, and recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could trim or sustain the peak by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model updates for clearer resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,787Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from DWD and ECMWF ensembles shows a cold front advancing across southern Germany on September 9, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after September 8 highs near 31°C. This setup favors a daily maximum in the low 20s°C, aligning with the market's near-even implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Historical climatology places the September 9 average high at 20.7°C, and recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could trim or sustain the peak by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model updates for clearer resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,787Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from DWD and ECMWF ensembles shows a cold front advancing across southern Germany on September 9, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after September 8 highs near 31°C. This setup favors a daily maximum in the low 20s°C, aligning with the market's near-even implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Historical climatology places the September 9 average high at 20.7°C, and recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could trim or sustain the peak by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model updates for clearer resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes