Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 9 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and heat indices exceeding 105°F, driving the strong market weighting toward the 98-99°F bin. Persistent southerly flow from a high-pressure ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures following Tuesday’s 100°F reading, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk keeping surface heating efficient. Ensemble consensus shows modest spread between 96-101°F due to small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, while historical September averages near 93°F underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and any late-day convective development remain the key variables that could shift final observed highs before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 9 de septiembre?
98-99°F 62%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 3.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
87°F o menos
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 62%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 3.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
87°F o menos
$419 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$274 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$84 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$69 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$191 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$296 Vol.
22%
98-99°F
$2,705 Vol.
62%
100-101°F
$536 Vol.
14%
102-103°F
$55 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$72 Vol.
<1%
106°F o más
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 9 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and heat indices exceeding 105°F, driving the strong market weighting toward the 98-99°F bin. Persistent southerly flow from a high-pressure ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures following Tuesday’s 100°F reading, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk keeping surface heating efficient. Ensemble consensus shows modest spread between 96-101°F due to small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, while historical September averages near 93°F underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and any late-day convective development remain the key variables that could shift final observed highs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,983Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 9 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and heat indices exceeding 105°F, driving the strong market weighting toward the 98-99°F bin. Persistent southerly flow from a high-pressure ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures following Tuesday’s 100°F reading, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk keeping surface heating efficient. Ensemble consensus shows modest spread between 96-101°F due to small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, while historical September averages near 93°F underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and any late-day convective development remain the key variables that could shift final observed highs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,983Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 9 under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and heat indices exceeding 105°F, driving the strong market weighting toward the 98-99°F bin. Persistent southerly flow from a high-pressure ridge has sustained above-normal temperatures following Tuesday’s 100°F reading, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk keeping surface heating efficient. Ensemble consensus shows modest spread between 96-101°F due to small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, while historical September averages near 93°F underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and any late-day convective development remain the key variables that could shift final observed highs before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes