Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Thursday high in the mid to upper 70s for Chicago, driven by northerly flow behind Wednesday’s frontal passage that advects cooler, drier air into the region. This setup limits daytime heating despite expected clearing skies, with Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and modest wind speeds further capping peaks near or slightly below the 78°F climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability warmer outcomes would require stronger southerly return flow or delayed frontal timing. Updated NWS point forecasts and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 10 de septiembre?
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 34%
74-75°F 14%
80-81 °F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
69°F o menos
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
39%
80-81 °F
11%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
3%
88°F o más
3%
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 34%
74-75°F 14%
80-81 °F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
69°F o menos
$21 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$21 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$8 Vol.
14%
76-77°F
$181 Vol.
34%
78-79°F
$168 Vol.
39%
80-81 °F
$76 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$21 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
3%
88°F o más
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Thursday high in the mid to upper 70s for Chicago, driven by northerly flow behind Wednesday’s frontal passage that advects cooler, drier air into the region. This setup limits daytime heating despite expected clearing skies, with Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and modest wind speeds further capping peaks near or slightly below the 78°F climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability warmer outcomes would require stronger southerly return flow or delayed frontal timing. Updated NWS point forecasts and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$497Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Thursday high in the mid to upper 70s for Chicago, driven by northerly flow behind Wednesday’s frontal passage that advects cooler, drier air into the region. This setup limits daytime heating despite expected clearing skies, with Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and modest wind speeds further capping peaks near or slightly below the 78°F climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability warmer outcomes would require stronger southerly return flow or delayed frontal timing. Updated NWS point forecasts and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$497Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Thursday high in the mid to upper 70s for Chicago, driven by northerly flow behind Wednesday’s frontal passage that advects cooler, drier air into the region. This setup limits daytime heating despite expected clearing skies, with Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and modest wind speeds further capping peaks near or slightly below the 78°F climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability warmer outcomes would require stronger southerly return flow or delayed frontal timing. Updated NWS point forecasts and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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