**Forecast model divergence on overnight cooling drives the near-even split in trader sentiment for Toronto's September 10 low temperature.** Official Environment Canada guidance points to a high of 22°C with a 30% shower chance and an 11°C overnight low, while several GFS-based and private models project milder conditions near 16–17°C amid northwest winds and partly cloudy skies. Historical average lows hover around 14.8°C, placing current guidance near or slightly below normal. Key variables include the timing and strength of post-frontal clearing, dewpoint trends, and any lingering moisture from Wednesday's showers that could moderate radiative cooling. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 9°C-or-below versus 19°C-or-higher balance currently implied at roughly equal market odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 10 de septiembre?
9°C o menos 98%
19°C o más 49%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
9°C o menos
98%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C o más
49%
9°C o menos 98%
19°C o más 49%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$0 Vol.
98%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C o más
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model divergence on overnight cooling drives the near-even split in trader sentiment for Toronto's September 10 low temperature.** Official Environment Canada guidance points to a high of 22°C with a 30% shower chance and an 11°C overnight low, while several GFS-based and private models project milder conditions near 16–17°C amid northwest winds and partly cloudy skies. Historical average lows hover around 14.8°C, placing current guidance near or slightly below normal. Key variables include the timing and strength of post-frontal clearing, dewpoint trends, and any lingering moisture from Wednesday's showers that could moderate radiative cooling. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 9°C-or-below versus 19°C-or-higher balance currently implied at roughly equal market odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model divergence on overnight cooling drives the near-even split in trader sentiment for Toronto's September 10 low temperature.** Official Environment Canada guidance points to a high of 22°C with a 30% shower chance and an 11°C overnight low, while several GFS-based and private models project milder conditions near 16–17°C amid northwest winds and partly cloudy skies. Historical average lows hover around 14.8°C, placing current guidance near or slightly below normal. Key variables include the timing and strength of post-frontal clearing, dewpoint trends, and any lingering moisture from Wednesday's showers that could moderate radiative cooling. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 9°C-or-below versus 19°C-or-higher balance currently implied at roughly equal market odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model divergence on overnight cooling drives the near-even split in trader sentiment for Toronto's September 10 low temperature.** Official Environment Canada guidance points to a high of 22°C with a 30% shower chance and an 11°C overnight low, while several GFS-based and private models project milder conditions near 16–17°C amid northwest winds and partly cloudy skies. Historical average lows hover around 14.8°C, placing current guidance near or slightly below normal. Key variables include the timing and strength of post-frontal clearing, dewpoint trends, and any lingering moisture from Wednesday's showers that could moderate radiative cooling. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 9°C-or-below versus 19°C-or-higher balance currently implied at roughly equal market odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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