Persistent high pressure over central Texas and light southerly flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Austin, with National Weather Service and private-model consensus pointing to a Thursday high in the upper 90s. Forecast soundings show ample boundary-layer moisture keeping heat-index values near 107 °F even if actual air temperature peaks near 98 °F, while partly cloudy skies and only isolated afternoon showers limit daytime cooling. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin (47.5 % implied probability) and supports the secondary 100–101 °F outcome (32.5 %) if mixing is stronger than expected. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. CDT NWS forecast discussion on September 9 will be the next key data points for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 10 de septiembre?
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
89°F o menos
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
28%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F o más
1%
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
89°F o menos
$42 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$24 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$3,328 Vol.
12%
98-99°F
$268 Vol.
50%
100-101°F
$946 Vol.
28%
102-103°F
$263 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
1%
108°F o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over central Texas and light southerly flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Austin, with National Weather Service and private-model consensus pointing to a Thursday high in the upper 90s. Forecast soundings show ample boundary-layer moisture keeping heat-index values near 107 °F even if actual air temperature peaks near 98 °F, while partly cloudy skies and only isolated afternoon showers limit daytime cooling. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin (47.5 % implied probability) and supports the secondary 100–101 °F outcome (32.5 %) if mixing is stronger than expected. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. CDT NWS forecast discussion on September 9 will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,871Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over central Texas and light southerly flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Austin, with National Weather Service and private-model consensus pointing to a Thursday high in the upper 90s. Forecast soundings show ample boundary-layer moisture keeping heat-index values near 107 °F even if actual air temperature peaks near 98 °F, while partly cloudy skies and only isolated afternoon showers limit daytime cooling. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin (47.5 % implied probability) and supports the secondary 100–101 °F outcome (32.5 %) if mixing is stronger than expected. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. CDT NWS forecast discussion on September 9 will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,871Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over central Texas and light southerly flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Austin, with National Weather Service and private-model consensus pointing to a Thursday high in the upper 90s. Forecast soundings show ample boundary-layer moisture keeping heat-index values near 107 °F even if actual air temperature peaks near 98 °F, while partly cloudy skies and only isolated afternoon showers limit daytime cooling. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin (47.5 % implied probability) and supports the secondary 100–101 °F outcome (32.5 %) if mixing is stronger than expected. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. CDT NWS forecast discussion on September 9 will be the next key data points for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes