Official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and international models, including the Met Office, project a maximum air temperature of 14°C in Wellington on September 9 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with spring climatology for the region, where daytime highs typically range 12–15°C amid variable frontal systems. Real-time observations early on September 9 and ensemble model consensus support the 14°C threshold as the most probable peak, with limited diurnal warming expected due to cloud development later. Trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 14°C reflects this strong observational and dynamical agreement. Only a substantial, unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly advection, or station-specific measurement variance would realistically shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 9 de septiembre?
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
NUEVO
$39,129 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,129 Vol.
9 sep 2026
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
NUEVO
$39,129 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,129 Vol.
9 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,233 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,568 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12,569 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,858 Vol.
99%
15°C
$7,393 Vol.
1%
16°C
$4,457 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$626 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and international models, including the Met Office, project a maximum air temperature of 14°C in Wellington on September 9 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with spring climatology for the region, where daytime highs typically range 12–15°C amid variable frontal systems. Real-time observations early on September 9 and ensemble model consensus support the 14°C threshold as the most probable peak, with limited diurnal warming expected due to cloud development later. Trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 14°C reflects this strong observational and dynamical agreement. Only a substantial, unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly advection, or station-specific measurement variance would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$39,129Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and international models, including the Met Office, project a maximum air temperature of 14°C in Wellington on September 9 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with spring climatology for the region, where daytime highs typically range 12–15°C amid variable frontal systems. Real-time observations early on September 9 and ensemble model consensus support the 14°C threshold as the most probable peak, with limited diurnal warming expected due to cloud development later. Trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 14°C reflects this strong observational and dynamical agreement. Only a substantial, unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly advection, or station-specific measurement variance would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39,129Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and international models, including the Met Office, project a maximum air temperature of 14°C in Wellington on September 9 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with spring climatology for the region, where daytime highs typically range 12–15°C amid variable frontal systems. Real-time observations early on September 9 and ensemble model consensus support the 14°C threshold as the most probable peak, with limited diurnal warming expected due to cloud development later. Trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 14°C reflects this strong observational and dynamical agreement. Only a substantial, unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly advection, or station-specific measurement variance would realistically shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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