Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and local meteorological updates points to a high near 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 10, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a cold front that ends the warmer spell of the prior two days. Increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger winds limit daytime heating while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average for early September. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from exact timing of precipitation bands and boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the daily maximum edges toward 20 °C or remains capped near 18 °C, directly influencing the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 10 de septiembre?
19°C 36%
20°C 35%
18°C 17%
21°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
15°C o menos
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
17%
19°C
36%
20°C
35%
21°C
10%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
19°C 36%
20°C 35%
18°C 17%
21°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$2 Vol.
2%
16°C
$15 Vol.
4%
17°C
$15 Vol.
6%
18°C
$473 Vol.
17%
19°C
$309 Vol.
36%
20°C
$254 Vol.
35%
21°C
$105 Vol.
10%
22°C
$80 Vol.
3%
23°C
$7 Vol.
1%
24°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$275 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and local meteorological updates points to a high near 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 10, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a cold front that ends the warmer spell of the prior two days. Increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger winds limit daytime heating while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average for early September. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from exact timing of precipitation bands and boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the daily maximum edges toward 20 °C or remains capped near 18 °C, directly influencing the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,696Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and local meteorological updates points to a high near 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 10, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a cold front that ends the warmer spell of the prior two days. Increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger winds limit daytime heating while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average for early September. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from exact timing of precipitation bands and boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the daily maximum edges toward 20 °C or remains capped near 18 °C, directly influencing the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,696Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and local meteorological updates points to a high near 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 10, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a cold front that ends the warmer spell of the prior two days. Increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger winds limit daytime heating while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average for early September. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from exact timing of precipitation bands and boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the daily maximum edges toward 20 °C or remains capped near 18 °C, directly influencing the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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