The tight market split between 30°C (49.5%) and 29°C (40.5%) stems primarily from uncertainty in Manila’s afternoon maximum under the southwest monsoon on September 10. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models show a narrow window for peak heating, with partial cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit radiative warming while urban heat-island effects and light winds could allow a brief spike to 30°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but today’s moisture convergence and any earlier convection introduce variability that keeps the two leading outcomes nearly even. Updated radar and short-range forecasts later today will clarify whether conditions favor the higher or lower threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 10 de septiembre?
30°C 82%
31°C 17%
32°C 4%
29°C 1.0%
NUEVO
$20,043 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,043 Vol.
10 sep 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
77%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C o más
<1%
30°C 82%
31°C 17%
32°C 4%
29°C 1.0%
NUEVO
$20,043 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,043 Vol.
10 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$566 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$547 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,476 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5,928 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,992 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,289 Vol.
77%
31°C
$3,569 Vol.
17%
32°C
$2,176 Vol.
4%
33°C
$690 Vol.
1%
34°C o más
$325 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight market split between 30°C (49.5%) and 29°C (40.5%) stems primarily from uncertainty in Manila’s afternoon maximum under the southwest monsoon on September 10. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models show a narrow window for peak heating, with partial cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit radiative warming while urban heat-island effects and light winds could allow a brief spike to 30°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but today’s moisture convergence and any earlier convection introduce variability that keeps the two leading outcomes nearly even. Updated radar and short-range forecasts later today will clarify whether conditions favor the higher or lower threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$20,043Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight market split between 30°C (49.5%) and 29°C (40.5%) stems primarily from uncertainty in Manila’s afternoon maximum under the southwest monsoon on September 10. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models show a narrow window for peak heating, with partial cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit radiative warming while urban heat-island effects and light winds could allow a brief spike to 30°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but today’s moisture convergence and any earlier convection introduce variability that keeps the two leading outcomes nearly even. Updated radar and short-range forecasts later today will clarify whether conditions favor the higher or lower threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,043Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight market split between 30°C (49.5%) and 29°C (40.5%) stems primarily from uncertainty in Manila’s afternoon maximum under the southwest monsoon on September 10. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models show a narrow window for peak heating, with partial cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit radiative warming while urban heat-island effects and light winds could allow a brief spike to 30°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but today’s moisture convergence and any earlier convection introduce variability that keeps the two leading outcomes nearly even. Updated radar and short-range forecasts later today will clarify whether conditions favor the higher or lower threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes