Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 19–20°C for Cape Town on September 10, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Early September marks the spring transition in the region’s Mediterranean climate, where daily highs typically climb from winter averages near 17–18°C toward 20°C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent south-easterly winds. Variable cloud cover, sea-surface temperatures, and the strength of the South Atlantic High will determine whether daytime maxima reach the upper or lower end of the favored range, with limited scope for outliers given stable synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 10 de septiembre?
19°C 36%
20°C 28%
21°C 18%
18°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
14°C o menos
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
16%
19°C
36%
20°C
28%
21°C
18%
22°C
13%
23°C
10%
24°C o más
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 28%
21°C 18%
18°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$25 Vol.
4%
15°C
$25 Vol.
4%
16°C
$3 Vol.
10%
17°C
$20 Vol.
9%
18°C
$48 Vol.
16%
19°C
$29 Vol.
36%
20°C
$0 Vol.
28%
21°C
$79 Vol.
18%
22°C
$9 Vol.
13%
23°C
$4 Vol.
10%
24°C o más
$111 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 19–20°C for Cape Town on September 10, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Early September marks the spring transition in the region’s Mediterranean climate, where daily highs typically climb from winter averages near 17–18°C toward 20°C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent south-easterly winds. Variable cloud cover, sea-surface temperatures, and the strength of the South Atlantic High will determine whether daytime maxima reach the upper or lower end of the favored range, with limited scope for outliers given stable synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$354Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 19–20°C for Cape Town on September 10, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Early September marks the spring transition in the region’s Mediterranean climate, where daily highs typically climb from winter averages near 17–18°C toward 20°C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent south-easterly winds. Variable cloud cover, sea-surface temperatures, and the strength of the South Atlantic High will determine whether daytime maxima reach the upper or lower end of the favored range, with limited scope for outliers given stable synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$354Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 19–20°C for Cape Town on September 10, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Early September marks the spring transition in the region’s Mediterranean climate, where daily highs typically climb from winter averages near 17–18°C toward 20°C, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent south-easterly winds. Variable cloud cover, sea-surface temperatures, and the strength of the South Atlantic High will determine whether daytime maxima reach the upper or lower end of the favored range, with limited scope for outliers given stable synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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