Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai will reach a maximum of 28–29°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 m/s. This aligns with the early-September climatological average high near 28°C and follows a cooling trend after late-summer warmth. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal or tropical influences expected to alter temperatures. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature forecasts issued 24 hours ahead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 9 de septiembre?
28°C 51%
29°C 37%
27°C 8%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
$14,821 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,821 Vol.
9 sep 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
8%
28°C
51%
29°C
37%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
28°C 51%
29°C 37%
27°C 8%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
$14,821 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,821 Vol.
9 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$250 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$521 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,017 Vol.
8%
28°C
$3,751 Vol.
51%
29°C
$2,372 Vol.
37%
30°C
$1,034 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,292 Vol.
1%
32°C
$531 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
34°C o más
$331 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai will reach a maximum of 28–29°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 m/s. This aligns with the early-September climatological average high near 28°C and follows a cooling trend after late-summer warmth. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal or tropical influences expected to alter temperatures. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature forecasts issued 24 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$14,821Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai will reach a maximum of 28–29°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 m/s. This aligns with the early-September climatological average high near 28°C and follows a cooling trend after late-summer warmth. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal or tropical influences expected to alter temperatures. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature forecasts issued 24 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,821Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai will reach a maximum of 28–29°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 m/s. This aligns with the early-September climatological average high near 28°C and follows a cooling trend after late-summer warmth. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal or tropical influences expected to alter temperatures. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature forecasts issued 24 hours ahead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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