Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 13 de septiembre?
21°C 57%
20°C 36%
22°C 6%
19°C 4%
$11,508 Vol.
$11,508 Vol.
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
36%
21°C
57%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
21°C 57%
20°C 36%
22°C 6%
19°C 4%
$11,508 Vol.
$11,508 Vol.
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
36%
21°C
57%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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