Latest forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show significant uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Amsterdam on September 13, with guidance diverging between mild conditions near 18–22°C under high pressure and cooler readings around or below 12°C if clearer skies and lighter winds allow stronger radiational cooling. This spread across key thresholds explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 30–37% for the extremes. Historical September baselines for the city average 13–16°C lows, providing context for why traders are weighting both warmer anomalies and potential cold snaps. Updated model outputs and local observations from KNMI are expected within hours and could quickly shift consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 13 de septiembre?
12°C o menos 69%
22°C o más 68%
14°C 40%
13°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
12°C o menos
69%
13°C
37%
14°C
40%
15°C
29%
16°C
26%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C
37%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C o más
68%
12°C o menos 69%
22°C o más 68%
14°C 40%
13°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$0 Vol.
69%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$4 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C
$4 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C o más
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show significant uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Amsterdam on September 13, with guidance diverging between mild conditions near 18–22°C under high pressure and cooler readings around or below 12°C if clearer skies and lighter winds allow stronger radiational cooling. This spread across key thresholds explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 30–37% for the extremes. Historical September baselines for the city average 13–16°C lows, providing context for why traders are weighting both warmer anomalies and potential cold snaps. Updated model outputs and local observations from KNMI are expected within hours and could quickly shift consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$7Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show significant uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Amsterdam on September 13, with guidance diverging between mild conditions near 18–22°C under high pressure and cooler readings around or below 12°C if clearer skies and lighter winds allow stronger radiational cooling. This spread across key thresholds explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 30–37% for the extremes. Historical September baselines for the city average 13–16°C lows, providing context for why traders are weighting both warmer anomalies and potential cold snaps. Updated model outputs and local observations from KNMI are expected within hours and could quickly shift consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show significant uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Amsterdam on September 13, with guidance diverging between mild conditions near 18–22°C under high pressure and cooler readings around or below 12°C if clearer skies and lighter winds allow stronger radiational cooling. This spread across key thresholds explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 30–37% for the extremes. Historical September baselines for the city average 13–16°C lows, providing context for why traders are weighting both warmer anomalies and potential cold snaps. Updated model outputs and local observations from KNMI are expected within hours and could quickly shift consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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