**Official National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 68°F in downtown Los Angeles and 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 97.5% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F range.** This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence and above-normal overnight lows (normal minimum around 64°F), with no significant cooling from offshore flow or clear-sky radiational effects. Traders' strong consensus draws from real-time station data and model consensus favoring stable conditions. Lower ranges remain improbable absent revised station readings or alternative measurement protocols, while higher outcomes are ruled out by the verified overnight minimums.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 15 de septiembre?
68-69°F 100.0%
61°F o menos <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$1,067 Vol.
$1,067 Vol.
15 sep 2026
61°F o menos
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Sí
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77 °F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F o más
No
68-69°F 100.0%
61°F o menos <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$1,067 Vol.
$1,067 Vol.
15 sep 2026
61°F o menos
$16 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$36 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$36 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$173 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$355 Vol.
Sí
70-71°F
$452 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
No
76-77 °F
$0 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
No
80°F o más
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 68°F in downtown Los Angeles and 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 97.5% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F range.**
This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence and above-normal overnight lows (normal minimum around 64°F), with no significant cooling from offshore flow or clear-sky radiational effects. Traders' strong consensus draws from real-time station data and model consensus favoring stable conditions. Lower ranges remain improbable absent revised station readings or alternative measurement protocols, while higher outcomes are ruled out by the verified overnight minimums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$1,067Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 68°F in downtown Los Angeles and 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 97.5% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F range.**
This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence and above-normal overnight lows (normal minimum around 64°F), with no significant cooling from offshore flow or clear-sky radiational effects. Traders' strong consensus draws from real-time station data and model consensus favoring stable conditions. Lower ranges remain improbable absent revised station readings or alternative measurement protocols, while higher outcomes are ruled out by the verified overnight minimums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,067Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Official National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 68°F in downtown Los Angeles and 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 97.5% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F range.** This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence and above-normal overnight lows (normal minimum around 64°F), with no significant cooling from offshore flow or clear-sky radiational effects. Traders' strong consensus draws from real-time station data and model consensus favoring stable conditions. Lower ranges remain improbable absent revised station readings or alternative measurement protocols, while higher outcomes are ruled out by the verified overnight minimums.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes