Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a high around 23–25 °C for Tokyo on September 17, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow several days of heavy rain that have suppressed temperatures well below the late-summer climatological average of ~27 °C. Model consensus centers on 24 °C as the most likely peak, with modest spread arising from uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and precipitation timing. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23–25 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow scientific range expected under this stable, rainy regime.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 17 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 17 de septiembre?
24°C 35%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
19°C o menos
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
9%
23°C
25%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$92 Vol.
2%
20°C
$120 Vol.
2%
21°C
$74 Vol.
5%
22°C
$240 Vol.
9%
23°C
$116 Vol.
25%
24°C
$339 Vol.
35%
25°C
$832 Vol.
19%
26°C
$216 Vol.
8%
27°C
$105 Vol.
2%
28°C
$105 Vol.
1%
29°C o más
$356 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a high around 23–25 °C for Tokyo on September 17, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow several days of heavy rain that have suppressed temperatures well below the late-summer climatological average of ~27 °C. Model consensus centers on 24 °C as the most likely peak, with modest spread arising from uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and precipitation timing. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23–25 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow scientific range expected under this stable, rainy regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,595Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a high around 23–25 °C for Tokyo on September 17, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow several days of heavy rain that have suppressed temperatures well below the late-summer climatological average of ~27 °C. Model consensus centers on 24 °C as the most likely peak, with modest spread arising from uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and precipitation timing. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23–25 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow scientific range expected under this stable, rainy regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,595Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a high around 23–25 °C for Tokyo on September 17, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow several days of heavy rain that have suppressed temperatures well below the late-summer climatological average of ~27 °C. Model consensus centers on 24 °C as the most likely peak, with modest spread arising from uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and precipitation timing. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23–25 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow scientific range expected under this stable, rainy regime.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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