Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Los Angeles on September 17 points to a minimum near 65°F under mostly clear skies after morning low clouds, driven by typical September marine-layer influence and light onshore flow from the west-southwest. This climatological baseline—historical average low around 63–64°F—positions the 68–69°F bin as the market favorite because small forecast revisions or station-specific readings at LAX or downtown can easily land in the upper 60s. The 55°F-or-below and 74°F-or-higher tails reflect low-probability scenarios of stronger cooling or unexpected warming, both inconsistent with the current stable pattern and ensemble consensus. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, keeping near-term uncertainty modest ahead of the overnight minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 17 de septiembre?
68-69°F 52%
66-67°F 40%
62-63°F 31%
70-71 °F 31%
55°F o menos
9%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
52%
70-71 °F
31%
72-73°F
5%
74°F o más
10%
68-69°F 52%
66-67°F 40%
62-63°F 31%
70-71 °F 31%
55°F o menos
9%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
52%
70-71 °F
31%
72-73°F
5%
74°F o más
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Los Angeles on September 17 points to a minimum near 65°F under mostly clear skies after morning low clouds, driven by typical September marine-layer influence and light onshore flow from the west-southwest. This climatological baseline—historical average low around 63–64°F—positions the 68–69°F bin as the market favorite because small forecast revisions or station-specific readings at LAX or downtown can easily land in the upper 60s. The 55°F-or-below and 74°F-or-higher tails reflect low-probability scenarios of stronger cooling or unexpected warming, both inconsistent with the current stable pattern and ensemble consensus. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, keeping near-term uncertainty modest ahead of the overnight minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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