Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that level. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where high pressure and urban heat island effects typically produce daily highs near 30–32°C. Verified station data, rather than models, underpin the outcome, consistent with historical mid-September climatology for the region. Measurement thresholds and reporting protocols from the observatory leave minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or instrument anomaly could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible historical precedent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 16 de septiembre?
31°C 100.0%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$146,152 Vol.
$146,152 Vol.
25°C o menos
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sí
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C o más
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$146,152 Vol.
$146,152 Vol.
25°C o menos
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sí
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that level. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where high pressure and urban heat island effects typically produce daily highs near 30–32°C. Verified station data, rather than models, underpin the outcome, consistent with historical mid-September climatology for the region. Measurement thresholds and reporting protocols from the observatory leave minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or instrument anomaly could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible historical precedent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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