**Trader consensus centers on a 31–32°C peak for September 18, matching the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge that maintains sunny, dry conditions with low precipitation risk.** Recent model runs and regional observations show daytime temperatures climbing toward the upper end of the range as the monsoon weakens slightly, consistent with highs of 31–32°C recorded on September 16–17. The modest 14% probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from further ridge strengthening or reduced cloud cover, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any incoming frontal systems or significant moisture. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with tomorrow’s updated guidance and real-time readings serving as the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 18 de septiembre?
32°C 41%
31°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
34%
32°C
41%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C o superior
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$776 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$681 Vol.
2%
30°C
$493 Vol.
15%
31°C
$1,767 Vol.
34%
32°C
$3,020 Vol.
41%
33°C
$828 Vol.
12%
34°C
$493 Vol.
2%
35°C o superior
$513 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 31–32°C peak for September 18, matching the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge that maintains sunny, dry conditions with low precipitation risk.** Recent model runs and regional observations show daytime temperatures climbing toward the upper end of the range as the monsoon weakens slightly, consistent with highs of 31–32°C recorded on September 16–17. The modest 14% probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from further ridge strengthening or reduced cloud cover, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any incoming frontal systems or significant moisture. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with tomorrow’s updated guidance and real-time readings serving as the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$9,493Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 31–32°C peak for September 18, matching the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge that maintains sunny, dry conditions with low precipitation risk.** Recent model runs and regional observations show daytime temperatures climbing toward the upper end of the range as the monsoon weakens slightly, consistent with highs of 31–32°C recorded on September 16–17. The modest 14% probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from further ridge strengthening or reduced cloud cover, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any incoming frontal systems or significant moisture. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with tomorrow’s updated guidance and real-time readings serving as the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,493Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 31–32°C peak for September 18, matching the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge that maintains sunny, dry conditions with low precipitation risk.** Recent model runs and regional observations show daytime temperatures climbing toward the upper end of the range as the monsoon weakens slightly, consistent with highs of 31–32°C recorded on September 16–17. The modest 14% probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from further ridge strengthening or reduced cloud cover, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any incoming frontal systems or significant moisture. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with tomorrow’s updated guidance and real-time readings serving as the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes