Forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a 24°C high as the leading outcome for Istanbul on September 19, driven by stable high pressure, northeast winds around 10-15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with seasonal norms near 23-24°C and recent model stability showing no significant warm or cool advection. Traders assign 65.5% implied probability to 24°C versus 20% for 23°C and 14.5% for 25°C, reflecting tight clustering around the median forecast while acknowledging minor ensemble spread typical for 24-48 hour outlooks. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at authorized stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 19 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 19 de septiembre?
24°C 63%
23°C 20%
25°C 15%
20°C o menos 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
20°C o menos
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
20%
24°C
63%
25°C
15%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
24°C 63%
23°C 20%
25°C 15%
20°C o menos 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$40 Vol.
2%
21°C
$22 Vol.
2%
22°C
$7 Vol.
2%
23°C
$461 Vol.
20%
24°C
$619 Vol.
63%
25°C
$469 Vol.
15%
26°C
$7 Vol.
2%
27°C
$22 Vol.
2%
28°C
$180 Vol.
1%
29°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a 24°C high as the leading outcome for Istanbul on September 19, driven by stable high pressure, northeast winds around 10-15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with seasonal norms near 23-24°C and recent model stability showing no significant warm or cool advection. Traders assign 65.5% implied probability to 24°C versus 20% for 23°C and 14.5% for 25°C, reflecting tight clustering around the median forecast while acknowledging minor ensemble spread typical for 24-48 hour outlooks. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at authorized stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,371Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a 24°C high as the leading outcome for Istanbul on September 19, driven by stable high pressure, northeast winds around 10-15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with seasonal norms near 23-24°C and recent model stability showing no significant warm or cool advection. Traders assign 65.5% implied probability to 24°C versus 20% for 23°C and 14.5% for 25°C, reflecting tight clustering around the median forecast while acknowledging minor ensemble spread typical for 24-48 hour outlooks. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at authorized stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,371Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a 24°C high as the leading outcome for Istanbul on September 19, driven by stable high pressure, northeast winds around 10-15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with seasonal norms near 23-24°C and recent model stability showing no significant warm or cool advection. Traders assign 65.5% implied probability to 24°C versus 20% for 23°C and 14.5% for 25°C, reflecting tight clustering around the median forecast while acknowledging minor ensemble spread typical for 24-48 hour outlooks. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at authorized stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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