Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high of 80–82°F in Central Park on September 18, driven by northerly winds following a frontal passage that replaced humid southerly flow with drier, cooler air. Sunny to partly cloudy skies and light north winds around 10 mph should limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation that could cap temperatures. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 80–81°F bin, as traders incorporate the stable, high-confidence guidance issued in the past 24 hours. Above-normal readings relative to the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 76°F reflect lingering late-summer warmth, yet the northerly steering pattern caps upside risk and explains the modest probabilities assigned to 84°F or higher. Updated NWS briefings and any late-model shifts ahead of the daily maximum will remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 18 de septiembre?
80-81°F 50%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 13%
84-85°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 50%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 13%
84-85°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
71°F o menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$133 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$100 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$189 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$288 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$577 Vol.
50%
82-83°F
$270 Vol.
35%
84-85°F
$169 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$331 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$50 Vol.
2%
90°F o más
$503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high of 80–82°F in Central Park on September 18, driven by northerly winds following a frontal passage that replaced humid southerly flow with drier, cooler air. Sunny to partly cloudy skies and light north winds around 10 mph should limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation that could cap temperatures. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 80–81°F bin, as traders incorporate the stable, high-confidence guidance issued in the past 24 hours. Above-normal readings relative to the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 76°F reflect lingering late-summer warmth, yet the northerly steering pattern caps upside risk and explains the modest probabilities assigned to 84°F or higher. Updated NWS briefings and any late-model shifts ahead of the daily maximum will remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,720Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high of 80–82°F in Central Park on September 18, driven by northerly winds following a frontal passage that replaced humid southerly flow with drier, cooler air. Sunny to partly cloudy skies and light north winds around 10 mph should limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation that could cap temperatures. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 80–81°F bin, as traders incorporate the stable, high-confidence guidance issued in the past 24 hours. Above-normal readings relative to the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 76°F reflect lingering late-summer warmth, yet the northerly steering pattern caps upside risk and explains the modest probabilities assigned to 84°F or higher. Updated NWS briefings and any late-model shifts ahead of the daily maximum will remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,720Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high of 80–82°F in Central Park on September 18, driven by northerly winds following a frontal passage that replaced humid southerly flow with drier, cooler air. Sunny to partly cloudy skies and light north winds around 10 mph should limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation that could cap temperatures. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 80–81°F bin, as traders incorporate the stable, high-confidence guidance issued in the past 24 hours. Above-normal readings relative to the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 76°F reflect lingering late-summer warmth, yet the northerly steering pattern caps upside risk and explains the modest probabilities assigned to 84°F or higher. Updated NWS briefings and any late-model shifts ahead of the daily maximum will remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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