Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Friday high near 70–72°F for San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. A weakening cut-off low and gradual marine-layer compression are allowing partial clearing after morning fog, supporting modest warming from Thursday’s cooler readings while onshore flow and typical coastal stratus keep temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms around 70.8°F. Key uncertainties center on the exact timing of fog dissipation and afternoon wind speeds, which could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 18 de septiembre?
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 21%
66-67 °F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
63°F o menos
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67 °F
5%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82°F o más
2%
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 21%
66-67 °F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
63°F o menos
$94 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
3%
66-67 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$7 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$40 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$170 Vol.
29%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$48 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$40 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$86 Vol.
1%
82°F o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Friday high near 70–72°F for San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. A weakening cut-off low and gradual marine-layer compression are allowing partial clearing after morning fog, supporting modest warming from Thursday’s cooler readings while onshore flow and typical coastal stratus keep temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms around 70.8°F. Key uncertainties center on the exact timing of fog dissipation and afternoon wind speeds, which could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$485Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Friday high near 70–72°F for San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. A weakening cut-off low and gradual marine-layer compression are allowing partial clearing after morning fog, supporting modest warming from Thursday’s cooler readings while onshore flow and typical coastal stratus keep temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms around 70.8°F. Key uncertainties center on the exact timing of fog dissipation and afternoon wind speeds, which could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$485Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Friday high near 70–72°F for San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. A weakening cut-off low and gradual marine-layer compression are allowing partial clearing after morning fog, supporting modest warming from Thursday’s cooler readings while onshore flow and typical coastal stratus keep temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms around 70.8°F. Key uncertainties center on the exact timing of fog dissipation and afternoon wind speeds, which could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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