Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions Miami's September 16 high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a 70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 88-91°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September variability around the 89°F climatological average. Northeast winds of 10-15 mph and elevated humidity may further moderate temperatures, while any delayed convection or stronger subsidence could push readings toward the upper end of the favored range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of peak heating remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 16 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 16 de septiembre?
90-91°F 53%
88-89°F 37%
92-93°F 5%
86-87°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
53%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
1%
96°F o más
<1%
90-91°F 53%
88-89°F 37%
92-93°F 5%
86-87°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
77°F o menos
$267 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$192 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$146 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$84 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$689 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$854 Vol.
37%
90-91°F
$2,607 Vol.
53%
92-93°F
$677 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$127 Vol.
1%
96°F o más
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions Miami's September 16 high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a 70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 88-91°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September variability around the 89°F climatological average. Northeast winds of 10-15 mph and elevated humidity may further moderate temperatures, while any delayed convection or stronger subsidence could push readings toward the upper end of the favored range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of peak heating remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$6,080Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions Miami's September 16 high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a 70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 88-91°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September variability around the 89°F climatological average. Northeast winds of 10-15 mph and elevated humidity may further moderate temperatures, while any delayed convection or stronger subsidence could push readings toward the upper end of the favored range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of peak heating remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,080Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions Miami's September 16 high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a 70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 88-91°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September variability around the 89°F climatological average. Northeast winds of 10-15 mph and elevated humidity may further moderate temperatures, while any delayed convection or stronger subsidence could push readings toward the upper end of the favored range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of peak heating remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes