Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a stable high-pressure system over Beijing, supporting mostly sunny conditions and a daytime high near 29°C on September 15, with limited cloud cover and southerly winds under 5 m/s. This aligns with the market's leading 29°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C at 27.5%, as ensemble forecasts cluster in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius—above the 26.5°C historical average high. Low precipitation risk and dry air masses reinforce modest warming without significant model spread or intensification signals. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution, with any late steering changes or boundary-layer mixing potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 15 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 15 de septiembre?
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 15%
31°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
25°C o menos
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
47%
30°C
28%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C o más
1%
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 15%
31°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$35 Vol.
4%
26°C
$10 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C
$138 Vol.
15%
29°C
$907 Vol.
47%
30°C
$1 Vol.
28%
31°C
$4 Vol.
7%
32°C
$22 Vol.
5%
33°C
$47 Vol.
3%
34°C
$10 Vol.
7%
35°C o más
$2 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a stable high-pressure system over Beijing, supporting mostly sunny conditions and a daytime high near 29°C on September 15, with limited cloud cover and southerly winds under 5 m/s. This aligns with the market's leading 29°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C at 27.5%, as ensemble forecasts cluster in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius—above the 26.5°C historical average high. Low precipitation risk and dry air masses reinforce modest warming without significant model spread or intensification signals. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution, with any late steering changes or boundary-layer mixing potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volumen
$1,182Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a stable high-pressure system over Beijing, supporting mostly sunny conditions and a daytime high near 29°C on September 15, with limited cloud cover and southerly winds under 5 m/s. This aligns with the market's leading 29°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C at 27.5%, as ensemble forecasts cluster in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius—above the 26.5°C historical average high. Low precipitation risk and dry air masses reinforce modest warming without significant model spread or intensification signals. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution, with any late steering changes or boundary-layer mixing potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,182Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a stable high-pressure system over Beijing, supporting mostly sunny conditions and a daytime high near 29°C on September 15, with limited cloud cover and southerly winds under 5 m/s. This aligns with the market's leading 29°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C at 27.5%, as ensemble forecasts cluster in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius—above the 26.5°C historical average high. Low precipitation risk and dry air masses reinforce modest warming without significant model spread or intensification signals. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution, with any late steering changes or boundary-layer mixing potentially shifting the peak by 1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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