A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft has sustained generally fine and dry conditions over southern China, anchoring Hong Kong’s overnight minimum near 27 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional station data. Persistent easterly flow and limited cloud cover have prevented significant radiative cooling or warming, keeping the diurnal range narrow and consistent with the 27–32 °C envelope issued for 17 September. Trader consensus at 93.5 % for a 27 °C low reflects this stable synoptic pattern and the absence of model divergence in recent runs. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a temporary wind lull allowed greater nocturnal cooling, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 17 de septiembre?
27°C 91%
26°C 11%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
NUEVO
$28,259 Vol.
NUEVO
$28,259 Vol.
17 sep 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
11%
27°C
87%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 91%
26°C 11%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
NUEVO
$28,259 Vol.
NUEVO
$28,259 Vol.
17 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$86 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$103 Vol.
1%
24°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,481 Vol.
1%
26°C
$8,001 Vol.
11%
27°C
$11,413 Vol.
87%
28°C
$5,192 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
31°C o más
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft has sustained generally fine and dry conditions over southern China, anchoring Hong Kong’s overnight minimum near 27 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional station data. Persistent easterly flow and limited cloud cover have prevented significant radiative cooling or warming, keeping the diurnal range narrow and consistent with the 27–32 °C envelope issued for 17 September. Trader consensus at 93.5 % for a 27 °C low reflects this stable synoptic pattern and the absence of model divergence in recent runs. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a temporary wind lull allowed greater nocturnal cooling, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$28,259Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft has sustained generally fine and dry conditions over southern China, anchoring Hong Kong’s overnight minimum near 27 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional station data. Persistent easterly flow and limited cloud cover have prevented significant radiative cooling or warming, keeping the diurnal range narrow and consistent with the 27–32 °C envelope issued for 17 September. Trader consensus at 93.5 % for a 27 °C low reflects this stable synoptic pattern and the absence of model divergence in recent runs. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a temporary wind lull allowed greater nocturnal cooling, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,259Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft has sustained generally fine and dry conditions over southern China, anchoring Hong Kong’s overnight minimum near 27 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional station data. Persistent easterly flow and limited cloud cover have prevented significant radiative cooling or warming, keeping the diurnal range narrow and consistent with the 27–32 °C envelope issued for 17 September. Trader consensus at 93.5 % for a 27 °C low reflects this stable synoptic pattern and the absence of model divergence in recent runs. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a temporary wind lull allowed greater nocturnal cooling, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes