Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum of 26°C for September 18 under persistent fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, yielding daytime highs near 31°C and low rain chances. This aligns with climatological September minima around 26°C and recent stable readings near 27°C, supporting elevated market-implied odds around that level. Model consensus shows minimal variability from steering easterlies and moderating winds, though subtle overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could allow slight downward shifts if humidity drops further. No significant weather systems are expected before resolution, anchoring trader consensus on these near-term observational baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 18 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 18 de septiembre?
21°C o menos 44%
26°C 37%
29°C 31%
24°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
21°C o menos
44%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
30%
25°C
19%
26°C
37%
27°C
35%
28°C
29%
29°C
31%
30°C
1%
31°C o más alta
1%
21°C o menos 44%
26°C 37%
29°C 31%
24°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$0 Vol.
44%
22°C
$0 Vol.
29%
23°C
$0 Vol.
29%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$3 Vol.
37%
27°C
$166 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$0 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C o más alta
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum of 26°C for September 18 under persistent fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, yielding daytime highs near 31°C and low rain chances. This aligns with climatological September minima around 26°C and recent stable readings near 27°C, supporting elevated market-implied odds around that level. Model consensus shows minimal variability from steering easterlies and moderating winds, though subtle overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could allow slight downward shifts if humidity drops further. No significant weather systems are expected before resolution, anchoring trader consensus on these near-term observational baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$168Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum of 26°C for September 18 under persistent fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, yielding daytime highs near 31°C and low rain chances. This aligns with climatological September minima around 26°C and recent stable readings near 27°C, supporting elevated market-implied odds around that level. Model consensus shows minimal variability from steering easterlies and moderating winds, though subtle overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could allow slight downward shifts if humidity drops further. No significant weather systems are expected before resolution, anchoring trader consensus on these near-term observational baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$168Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum of 26°C for September 18 under persistent fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, yielding daytime highs near 31°C and low rain chances. This aligns with climatological September minima around 26°C and recent stable readings near 27°C, supporting elevated market-implied odds around that level. Model consensus shows minimal variability from steering easterlies and moderating winds, though subtle overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could allow slight downward shifts if humidity drops further. No significant weather systems are expected before resolution, anchoring trader consensus on these near-term observational baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes