**The dominant 92.5% market-implied odds for a 27°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 16 reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–31°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon.** This setup delivers generally fine to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation probability, moderate easterly winds, and reduced humidity overnight, aligning closely with recent surface observations and regional model consensus. Historical September climatology for the region supports overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C when monsoon flow suppresses cloud cover and moisture. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require greater-than-expected nocturnal cloud build-up or localized showers that enhance radiative cooling or evaporative effects, potentially allowing a brief dip toward 26°C before sunrise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de septiembre?
27°C 92%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
NUEVO
$12,757 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,757 Vol.
16 sep 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
92%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 92%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
NUEVO
$12,757 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,757 Vol.
16 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$188 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$115 Vol.
2%
24°C
$613 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,232 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,937 Vol.
7%
27°C
$3,488 Vol.
92%
28°C
$1,623 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
31°C o más
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The dominant 92.5% market-implied odds for a 27°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 16 reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–31°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon.** This setup delivers generally fine to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation probability, moderate easterly winds, and reduced humidity overnight, aligning closely with recent surface observations and regional model consensus. Historical September climatology for the region supports overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C when monsoon flow suppresses cloud cover and moisture. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require greater-than-expected nocturnal cloud build-up or localized showers that enhance radiative cooling or evaporative effects, potentially allowing a brief dip toward 26°C before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$12,757Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The dominant 92.5% market-implied odds for a 27°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 16 reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–31°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon.** This setup delivers generally fine to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation probability, moderate easterly winds, and reduced humidity overnight, aligning closely with recent surface observations and regional model consensus. Historical September climatology for the region supports overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C when monsoon flow suppresses cloud cover and moisture. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require greater-than-expected nocturnal cloud build-up or localized showers that enhance radiative cooling or evaporative effects, potentially allowing a brief dip toward 26°C before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,757Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The dominant 92.5% market-implied odds for a 27°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 16 reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–31°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon.** This setup delivers generally fine to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation probability, moderate easterly winds, and reduced humidity overnight, aligning closely with recent surface observations and regional model consensus. Historical September climatology for the region supports overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C when monsoon flow suppresses cloud cover and moisture. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require greater-than-expected nocturnal cloud build-up or localized showers that enhance radiative cooling or evaporative effects, potentially allowing a brief dip toward 26°C before sunrise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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