Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System indicates a high temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under stable northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, supporting the market’s strong preference for 28°C at 53.5% implied probability. Typical early-autumn moderation after peak summer warmth, combined with consistent pressure around 1017–1019 hPa and low precipitation chances, reduces the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range between 27°C and 29°C outcomes against minor model spread in maximum readings, with 27°C holding secondary support at 38% amid slight cooling potential from increased cloud cover. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any adjustments from steering patterns or local urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 16 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 16 de septiembre?
28°C 54%
27°C 38%
29°C 7%
26°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
38%
28°C
54%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C o más
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 38%
29°C 7%
26°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
23°C o menos
$5 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$11 Vol.
6%
27°C
$31 Vol.
38%
28°C
$142 Vol.
54%
29°C
$26 Vol.
7%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C o más
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System indicates a high temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under stable northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, supporting the market’s strong preference for 28°C at 53.5% implied probability. Typical early-autumn moderation after peak summer warmth, combined with consistent pressure around 1017–1019 hPa and low precipitation chances, reduces the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range between 27°C and 29°C outcomes against minor model spread in maximum readings, with 27°C holding secondary support at 38% amid slight cooling potential from increased cloud cover. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any adjustments from steering patterns or local urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$225Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System indicates a high temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under stable northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, supporting the market’s strong preference for 28°C at 53.5% implied probability. Typical early-autumn moderation after peak summer warmth, combined with consistent pressure around 1017–1019 hPa and low precipitation chances, reduces the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range between 27°C and 29°C outcomes against minor model spread in maximum readings, with 27°C holding secondary support at 38% amid slight cooling potential from increased cloud cover. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any adjustments from steering patterns or local urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$225Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System indicates a high temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under stable northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, supporting the market’s strong preference for 28°C at 53.5% implied probability. Typical early-autumn moderation after peak summer warmth, combined with consistent pressure around 1017–1019 hPa and low precipitation chances, reduces the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range between 27°C and 29°C outcomes against minor model spread in maximum readings, with 27°C holding secondary support at 38% amid slight cooling potential from increased cloud cover. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any adjustments from steering patterns or local urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes