Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on September 16 points to mostly cloudy skies and a forecast overnight low in the upper 50s, with the minimum temperature likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours under light winds and moderate humidity. This setup, influenced by a lingering moisture plume and limited radiational cooling, underpins trader emphasis on the 51°F-or-below bin as the leading outcome while elevating 54–55°F as a close second. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 49°F, yet current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal advection, keeping higher bins at low implied probability. Updated model runs and any late-day observations could still shift the exact minimum before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Denver el 16 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Denver el 16 de septiembre?
62-63°F 72%
51°F o menos 51%
52-53°F 38%
56-57°F 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
51°F o menos
51%
52-53°F
38%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
38%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
-
62-63°F
72%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69 °F
<1%
70°F o más
<1%
62-63°F 72%
51°F o menos 51%
52-53°F 38%
56-57°F 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
51°F o menos
$0 Vol.
51%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
38%
54-55°F
$41 Vol.
38%
56-57°F
$88 Vol.
38%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
38%
60-61°F
$3 Vol.
-
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
72%
64-65°F
$16 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$16 Vol.
<1%
68-69 °F
$22 Vol.
<1%
70°F o más
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on September 16 points to mostly cloudy skies and a forecast overnight low in the upper 50s, with the minimum temperature likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours under light winds and moderate humidity. This setup, influenced by a lingering moisture plume and limited radiational cooling, underpins trader emphasis on the 51°F-or-below bin as the leading outcome while elevating 54–55°F as a close second. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 49°F, yet current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal advection, keeping higher bins at low implied probability. Updated model runs and any late-day observations could still shift the exact minimum before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$208Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on September 16 points to mostly cloudy skies and a forecast overnight low in the upper 50s, with the minimum temperature likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours under light winds and moderate humidity. This setup, influenced by a lingering moisture plume and limited radiational cooling, underpins trader emphasis on the 51°F-or-below bin as the leading outcome while elevating 54–55°F as a close second. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 49°F, yet current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal advection, keeping higher bins at low implied probability. Updated model runs and any late-day observations could still shift the exact minimum before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$208Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on September 16 points to mostly cloudy skies and a forecast overnight low in the upper 50s, with the minimum temperature likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours under light winds and moderate humidity. This setup, influenced by a lingering moisture plume and limited radiational cooling, underpins trader emphasis on the 51°F-or-below bin as the leading outcome while elevating 54–55°F as a close second. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 49°F, yet current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal advection, keeping higher bins at low implied probability. Updated model runs and any late-day observations could still shift the exact minimum before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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