Traders see 23°C and 24°C as the most likely outcomes for Milan’s highest temperature on September 17 because recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs show a narrow spread centered near those values under transitional autumn conditions in the Po Valley. A weak high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and modest moisture advection from the Mediterranean introduce uncertainty of 1–2°C. Historical mid-September climatology for Milan places average highs near 24°C, but model disagreements on frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing keep probabilities closely split. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de septiembre?
23°C 25%
24°C 25%
25°C 18%
22°C 15%
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
15%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
18%
26°C o más
14%
23°C 25%
24°C 25%
25°C 18%
22°C 15%
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
15%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
18%
26°C o más
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 23°C and 24°C as the most likely outcomes for Milan’s highest temperature on September 17 because recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs show a narrow spread centered near those values under transitional autumn conditions in the Po Valley. A weak high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and modest moisture advection from the Mediterranean introduce uncertainty of 1–2°C. Historical mid-September climatology for Milan places average highs near 24°C, but model disagreements on frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing keep probabilities closely split. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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