Recent forecast models from sources including PredictWind, the Met Office, and regional Chinese outlets project a daytime high of 23–26°C in Chengdu on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions follow similar unsettled weather on September 15, when highs reached only 19–25°C amid rain. Historical mid-September averages near 25°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and overcast skies favor the lower end of the typical range. Market-implied odds, led by 25°C at 38.5% and 24°C at 23%, reflect trader consensus around these model outputs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 27°C or below 23°C given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles ahead of local noon could refine the final observed maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 16 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 16 de septiembre?
25°C 39%
24°C 29%
23°C 14%
26°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
29%
25°C
39%
26°C
12%
27°C
4%
28°C o más
2%
25°C 39%
24°C 29%
23°C 14%
26°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
18°C o menos
$473 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$745 Vol.
1%
21°C
$266 Vol.
2%
22°C
$428 Vol.
6%
23°C
$668 Vol.
14%
24°C
$553 Vol.
29%
25°C
$1,473 Vol.
39%
26°C
$777 Vol.
12%
27°C
$627 Vol.
4%
28°C o más
$195 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including PredictWind, the Met Office, and regional Chinese outlets project a daytime high of 23–26°C in Chengdu on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions follow similar unsettled weather on September 15, when highs reached only 19–25°C amid rain. Historical mid-September averages near 25°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and overcast skies favor the lower end of the typical range. Market-implied odds, led by 25°C at 38.5% and 24°C at 23%, reflect trader consensus around these model outputs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 27°C or below 23°C given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles ahead of local noon could refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$7,529Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including PredictWind, the Met Office, and regional Chinese outlets project a daytime high of 23–26°C in Chengdu on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions follow similar unsettled weather on September 15, when highs reached only 19–25°C amid rain. Historical mid-September averages near 25°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and overcast skies favor the lower end of the typical range. Market-implied odds, led by 25°C at 38.5% and 24°C at 23%, reflect trader consensus around these model outputs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 27°C or below 23°C given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles ahead of local noon could refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,529Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including PredictWind, the Met Office, and regional Chinese outlets project a daytime high of 23–26°C in Chengdu on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions follow similar unsettled weather on September 15, when highs reached only 19–25°C amid rain. Historical mid-September averages near 25°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and overcast skies favor the lower end of the typical range. Market-implied odds, led by 25°C at 38.5% and 24°C at 23%, reflect trader consensus around these model outputs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 27°C or below 23°C given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles ahead of local noon could refine the final observed maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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